421 matches analysed today 54 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:57 WATTelegram18+
Turkey Süper Lig Sun 18 Oct 2026 · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium Full time
4–1
Half-time 2–1
43%Kasımpaşa22%Draw34%Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.6 projected goals. Probability 74%. Kasımpaşa won most recently (WDW). Mind Score 74.

74Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Kasımpaşa2.4543% X · Draw3.2022% 2 · Samsunspor2.7534%

Double chance

1X1.4066% 121.3378% X21.5057%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3574% · fair Under 1.53.8526% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.0349% · fair Under 2.51.9751% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.6727% · fair Under 3.51.3773% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7560% NG · No2.0040%

Half-time result

HT 12.9031% HT X2.1543% HT 23.2526%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Kasımpaşa 43%, Samsunspor 34%, draw 22%. Table: Kasımpaşa 5th (20 pts), Samsunspor 17th (7 pts).

Recent form

Kasımpaşa – sample of six: L D W D D W, with two wins. Most recent: at Galatasaray, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.

Samsunspor bring a L L L L L W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Trabzonspor, 0–3 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Aug 2026): Kasımpaşa 3–0 Samsunspor. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Kasımpaşa 1.4, Samsunspor 1.2 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 60%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 74. Likeliest score: Kasımpaşa 2–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Kasımpaşa

last 6
  • L@ Galatasaray1–39 Oct
  • Dv Konyaspor0–018 Sep
  • W@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–113 Sep
  • Dv Amed2–26 Sep
  • D@ Başakşehir1–130 Aug
  • W@ Çorum FK1–022 Aug
1.2scored / game1.2conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Samsunspor

last 6
  • Lv Trabzonspor0–310 Oct
  • L@ Erzurumspor FK0–120 Sep
  • Lv Çorum FK1–512 Sep
  • L@ Kocaelispor0–16 Sep
  • Lv Fenerbahçe0–230 Aug
  • W@ Rizespor2–022 Aug
0.5scored / game2.0conceded17%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 8 Aug 2026Kasımpaşa3–0Samsunspor

Süper Lig table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray11911+1228
2Trabzonspor11812+1825
3Amed11722+1323
4Beşiktaş11713+1122
5Kasımpaşa11551+620
6Fenerbahçe11614+1919
7Kocaelispor11614+419
8Başakşehir11524+217
9Çorum FK11515016
10Göztepe11434+315
11Rizespor11425-314
12Erzurumspor FK11425-714
13Alanyaspor11335-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11326-911
15Konyaspor11227-88
16Gaziantep FK11227-108
17Samsunspor11218-157
18Eyüpspor111010-273

More Süper Lig predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 74.

Who is favourite, Kasımpaşa or Samsunspor?

The model gives Kasımpaşa 43%, the draw 22% and Samsunspor 34%.

What is the likeliest score in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Kasımpaşa 2–1 Samsunspor.

How many goals are expected in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 49% and both teams to score 60%.

When does Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor kick off?

Sunday 18 October 2026, 11:30 WAT, at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium – Süper Lig.