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England National League Sat 10 Oct 2026 · Brunton Park Full time
0–0
Half-time 0–0
68%Carlisle21%Draw11%Kidderminster Harriers

Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers prediction: Carlisle to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Carlisle to win

Projected goals favour Carlisle: 2.1 against 0.8. Carlisle carry a 4-match unbeaten sequence (WWWW); Kidderminster Harriers's form is mixed (DWLD, 1 W 2 D 1 L). At 1.44 the market and the model roughly agree.

68Mind Score Odds1.44 Score2–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Carlisle1.4468% X · Draw4.0021% 2 · Kidderminster Harriers5.5011%

Double chance

1X1.1289% 121.2079% X22.5032%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2779% · fair Under 1.54.7321% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7956% · fair Under 2.52.2744% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.9933% · fair Under 3.51.5067% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6557% NG · No2.1543%

Half-time result

HT 11.9150% HT X2.4537% HT 25.5013%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Carlisle are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Carlisle 6th (29 pts), Kidderminster Harriers 13th (22 pts).

Recent form

Carlisle bring a W W L L D D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Aldershot Town, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.7 a game.

The last six for Kidderminster Harriers read D L L D W W (two wins). Most recent: v Sutton Utd, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Carlisle 2.1, Kidderminster Harriers 0.8 – 2.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 57%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Carlisle to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Carlisle 2–0 Kidderminster Harriers. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Carlisle

last 6
  • W@ Aldershot Town3–13 Oct
  • W@ AFC Fylde2–029 Sep
  • Lv Woking2–526 Sep
  • L@ Eastleigh0–119 Sep
  • Dv Forest Green1–115 Sep
  • Dv Southend2–212 Sep
1.7scored / game1.7conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Kidderminster Harriers

last 6
  • Dv Sutton Utd1–13 Oct
  • L@ Boreham Wood1–329 Sep
  • Lv Yeovil Town0–126 Sep
  • D@ Woking0–019 Sep
  • Wv Gateshead1–016 Sep
  • Wv Hartlepool2–011 Sep
0.8scored / game0.8conceded33%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

National League table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood171430+2745
2Harrogate Town171124+1535
3Southend17953+1232
4AFC Fylde171025+732
5Yeovil Town17854+1529
6Carlisle17854+1129
7Worthing17854+729
8Barrow16844+1028
9Altrincham17917-428
10FC Halifax Town17746+825
11Sutton Utd17737-324
12AFC Hornchurch17809-724
13Kidderminster Harriers17575+122
14Woking16637+121
15Aldershot Town17638-121
16Forest Green14545-119
17Wealdstone17548-619
18Eastleigh17548-719
19Boston United17539-1018
20Tamworth16529-817
21Hartlepool175111-916
22Solihull Moors175111-1916
23Scunthorpe163211-1111
24Gateshead161114-284

More National League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers?

The Mind pick is Carlisle to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Carlisle or Kidderminster Harriers?

The model gives Carlisle 68%, the draw 21% and Kidderminster Harriers 11%.

What is the likeliest score in Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Carlisle 2–0 Kidderminster Harriers.

How many goals are expected in Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 57%.

When does Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers kick off?

Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:30 WAT, at Brunton Park – National League.