Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town prediction: Sutton Utd or draw
Covering two results: Sutton Utd win or draw (83%). Sutton Utd arrive off a defeat (LLDWW); Aldershot Town arrive off a defeat (LLLWL). Price check: 1.25 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Sutton Utd 60%, Aldershot Town 17%, draw 23%. Table: Sutton Utd 11th (24 pts), Aldershot Town 15th (21 pts).
Recent form
Sutton Utd bring a L W W L D L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Harrogate Town, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game.
The last six for Aldershot Town read L W D W L L (two wins). Most recent: v Wealdstone, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.0 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Aldershot Town 2–2 Sutton Utd. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sutton Utd 1.7, Aldershot Town 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Sutton Utd or draw – Mind Score 83, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.21. Likeliest score: Sutton Utd 1–0 Aldershot Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sutton Utd
last 6- L@ Harrogate Town1–324 Oct
- Wv Truro City1–017 Oct
- Wv West Bromwich Albion U213–213 Oct
- Lv Boreham Wood0–29 Oct
- D@ Kidderminster Harriers1–13 Oct
- L@ Tamworth0–230 Sep
Aldershot Town
last 6- Lv Wealdstone0–124 Oct
- W@ Tadley Calleva2–020 Oct
- Dv Tadley Calleva2–217 Oct
- Wv Norwich City U215–313 Oct
- L@ Altrincham1–310 Oct
- Lv Carlisle1–33 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 3 Apr 2026Aldershot Town2–2Sutton Utd
National League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 17 | +27 | 45 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 17 | +15 | 35 |
| 3 |  Southend | 17 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 17 | +7 | 32 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 17 | +15 | 29 |
| 6 |  Carlisle | 17 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |  Worthing | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 16 | +10 | 28 |
| 9 |  Altrincham | 17 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 17 | +8 | 25 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 17 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 |  AFC Hornchurch | 17 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 14 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 15 |  Aldershot Town | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Wealdstone | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Eastleigh | 17 | -7 | 19 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 17 | -10 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 17 | -9 | 16 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 17 | -19 | 16 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 16 | -11 | 11 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 16 | -28 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
The Mind pick is Sutton Utd or draw with a Mind Score of 83, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sutton Utd or Aldershot Town?
The model gives Sutton Utd 60%, the draw 23% and Aldershot Town 17%.
What is the likeliest score in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sutton Utd 1–0 Aldershot Town.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town kick off?
Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT, at VBS Community Stadium – National League.