Harborough Town vs Hereford prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.8 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 65. 3 without a win for Harborough Town (LLL); Hereford arrive off a defeat (LDWL). Price check: 1.53 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Harborough Town edge it at home, 56% to 25%, with the draw on 19%. Table: Harborough Town 19th (17 pts), Hereford 2nd (30 pts).
Recent form
Harborough Town – sample of six: L W L W D W, with three wins. Most recent: at Brackley Town, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.2 a game.
Hereford – sample of six: W W D W W W, with five wins. Most recent: v Spennymoor Town, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Harborough Town 1.8, Hereford 1.1 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.53 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: Harborough Town 1–0 Hereford. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Harborough Town
last 6- L@ Brackley Town0–15 Sep
- Wv Marine2–131 Aug
- L@ Hednesford Town1–228 Aug
- Wv Darlington 18834–222 Aug
- D@ Oxford City1–118 Aug
- Wv Morecambe1–015 Aug
Hereford
last 6- Wv Spennymoor Town2–15 Sep
- W@ Southport1–031 Aug
- Dv Chester1–129 Aug
- W@ Worksop Town3–022 Aug
- Wv Radcliffe3–018 Aug
- Wv Marine1–015 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Harborough Town vs Hereford?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.53 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Harborough Town or Hereford?
The model gives Harborough Town 56%, the draw 19% and Hereford 25%.
What is the likeliest score in Harborough Town vs Hereford?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Harborough Town 1–0 Hereford.
How many goals are expected in Harborough Town vs Hereford?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Harborough Town vs Hereford kick off?
Tuesday 8 September 2026, 19:45 WAT, at Harborough Town Community Football Ground – National League North.