Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W prediction: Hamburger SV W or draw
Covering two results: Hamburger SV W win or draw (86%). Hamburger SV W won most recently (WLDD); Mainz 05 W have no win in 3 (LLL). At 1.20 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Hamburger SV W strong home favourites (68%). Table: Hamburger SV W 13th (6 pts), Mainz 05 W 14th (0 pts).
Recent form
Hamburger SV W – sample of six: L D D L L W, with one win. Most recent: at Bayer Leverkusen W, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Mainz 05 W bring a L D L L L W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Stuttgart W, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.8 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Hamburger SV W 2.4, Mainz 05 W 1.0 – 3.4 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 64%, both to score at 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Hamburger SV W or draw – Mind Score 86, bookmaker price around 1.20 against a fair 1.17. Likeliest score: Hamburger SV W 2–1 Mainz 05 W. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Hamburger SV W
last 6- L@ Bayer Leverkusen W0–27 Nov
- Dv Union Berlin W3–331 Oct
- Dv Union Berlin W4–425 Oct
- L@ FC Koln W1–317 Oct
- L@ VfL Wolfsburg W1–24 Oct
- W@ Meppen W2–126 Sep
Mainz 05 W
last 6- Lv Stuttgart W1–38 Nov
- Dv Werder Bremen W0–01 Nov
- L@ 1899 Hoffenheim W1–325 Oct
- Lv VfL Wolfsburg W0–518 Oct
- L@ RB Leipzig W0–53 Oct
- W@ Ingolstadt W6–126 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Frauen Bundesliga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich W | 9 | +24 | 27 |
| 2 |  VfL Wolfsburg W | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 3 |  Eintracht Frankfurt W | 9 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen W | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen W | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  FC Koln W | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Union Berlin W | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Stuttgart W | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig W | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim W | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  SC Freiburg W | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 |  Nürnberg W | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV W | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 W | 9 | -25 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W?
The Mind pick is Hamburger SV W or draw with a Mind Score of 86, priced around 1.20 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Hamburger SV W or Mainz 05 W?
The model gives Hamburger SV W 68%, the draw 18% and Mainz 05 W 14%.
What is the likeliest score in Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Hamburger SV W 2–1 Mainz 05 W.
How many goals are expected in Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W?
Around 3.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W kick off?
Friday 13 November 2026, 18:30 WAT, at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage – Frauen Bundesliga.