Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.9 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Probability 67%. Ilkeston Town have no win in 3 (LLL); United of Manchester's latest result was a win (WLD). The 1.36 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
United of Manchester shade it on the road, 45% to 35%. Table: Ilkeston Town 21st (13 pts), United of Manchester 20th (15 pts).
Recent form
Ilkeston Town bring a L L W W L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Curzon Ashton, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.0 a game.
The last six for United of Manchester read L D D W L D (one win). Most recent: at Curzon Ashton, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.7 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Ilkeston Town 1.3, United of Manchester 1.6 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.36 against a fair 1.50. Likeliest score: Ilkeston Town 1–2 United of Manchester. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ilkeston Town
last 6- L@ Curzon Ashton0–110 Nov
- L@ Leek Town2–37 Nov
- Wv Hyde United1–031 Oct
- Wv Avro2–017 Oct
- L@ Gainsborough Trinity1–313 Oct
- Lv Redcar Athletic0–510 Oct
United of Manchester
last 6- L@ Curzon Ashton0–13 Nov
- Dv Lancaster City0–031 Oct
- Dv Quorn1–127 Oct
- Wv Whitby Town4–224 Oct
- Lv Altrincham2–620 Oct
- D@ Altrincham0–017 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Non League Premier Northern table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 19 | +24 | 41 |
| 2 |  Curzon Ashton | 18 | +14 | 37 |
| 3 |  Cleethorpes Town | 18 | +22 | 36 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 16 | +18 | 33 |
| 5 |  Rylands | 18 | +11 | 33 |
| 6 |  Avro | 18 | +8 | 32 |
| 7 |  Workington | 18 | +4 | 30 |
| 8 |  Bury | 16 | +14 | 29 |
| 9 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 18 | +7 | 29 |
| 10 |  Warrington Town | 18 | +5 | 29 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 19 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 |  Alfreton Town | 18 | -2 | 23 |
| 13 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 |  Quorn | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 |  Stockton Town | 19 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 |  Whitby Town | 19 | -27 | 19 |
| 17 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 |  Ilkeston Town | 19 | -27 | 13 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 18 | -24 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.36 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Ilkeston Town or United of Manchester?
The model gives Ilkeston Town 35%, the draw 20% and United of Manchester 45%.
What is the likeliest score in Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ilkeston Town 1–2 United of Manchester.
How many goals are expected in Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT – Non League Premier Northern.