Inca Aruba vs Águila prediction: Águila to win
Projected goals favour Águila: 2.0 against 1.0. Águila's form is mixed (DLWW, 2 W 1 D 1 L). The 1.43 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Águila 62%, Inca Aruba 19%. Table: Inca Aruba 12th (17 pts), Águila 4th (31 pts).
Recent form
Inca Aruba – sample of six: L D L L L L, with zero wins. Most recent: at Atletico Balboa, 1–4 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Águila bring a D L W W D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Municipal Limeño, 1–1 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.5 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Águila 3–1 Inca Aruba. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Inca Aruba 1.0, Águila 2.0 – 3.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both to score at 50%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Águila to win – Mind Score 62, bookmaker price around 1.43 against a fair 1.61. Likeliest score: Inca Aruba 0–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Inca Aruba
last 6- L@ Atletico Balboa1–412 Nov
- Dv Isidro Metapán1–17 Nov
- L@ Cacahuatique0–131 Oct
- Lv Inter0–224 Oct
- L@ Firpo0–216 Oct
- Lv Platense1–410 Oct
Águila
last 6- Dv Municipal Limeño1–112 Nov
- L@ Alianza2–38 Nov
- W@ Fuerte San Francisco4–31 Nov
- Wv FAS3–125 Oct
- D@ Atletico Balboa2–218 Oct
- Wv Isidro Metapán3–011 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Sep 2026Águila3–1Inca Aruba
Primera Division table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Firpo | 20 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  Isidro Metapán | 20 | +6 | 35 |
| 3 |  FAS | 20 | +10 | 34 |
| 4 |  Águila | 20 | +9 | 31 |
| 5 |  Inter | 20 | +7 | 28 |
| 6 |  Platense | 20 | +2 | 27 |
| 7 |  Alianza | 20 | -1 | 26 |
| 8 |  Municipal Limeño | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 |  Atletico Balboa | 20 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 |  Cacahuatique | 20 | -8 | 20 |
| 11 |  Fuerte San Francisco | 21 | -15 | 17 |
| 12 |  Inca Aruba | 20 | -22 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Inca Aruba vs Águila?
The Mind pick is Águila to win with a Mind Score of 62, priced around 1.43 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Inca Aruba or Águila?
The model gives Inca Aruba 19%, the draw 19% and Águila 62%.
What is the likeliest score in Inca Aruba vs Águila?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Inca Aruba 0–1 Águila.
How many goals are expected in Inca Aruba vs Águila?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 50%.
When does Inca Aruba vs Águila kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 01:00 WAT – Primera Division.