405 matches analysed today 10 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 07:46 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie A Women Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Curva Fiesole - Viola Park Full time
2–1
Half-time 1–0

Lazio W

LLDLD
60%Fiorentina W24%Draw15%Lazio W

Fiorentina W vs Lazio W prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.5 projected goals. Mind Score 74. Fiorentina W's last 4 reads WWLW – 3 wins; Lazio W were beaten last time (LDLD). Price check: 1.22 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

74Mind Score Odds1.22 Score2–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Fiorentina W1.5060% X · Draw3.8024% 2 · Lazio W5.2515%

Double chance

1X1.1185% 121.1876% X22.3040%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2274% Under 1.54.0026%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7350% Under 2.52.0850%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.7529% Under 3.51.4071%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8052% NG · No1.9148%

Half-time result

HT 12.0043% HT X2.4042% HT 25.0015%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Fiorentina W strong home favourites (60%). Table: Fiorentina W 4th (10 pts), Lazio W 11th (3 pts).

Recent form

Fiorentina W – sample of six: W L W D W L, with three wins. Most recent: at Ternana W, 4–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.0 a game.

Lazio W – sample of six: D L D L L D, with zero wins. Most recent: v Napoli W, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.2 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Head-to-head

Latest (May 2026): Fiorentina W 2–1 Lazio W. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Fiorentina W 1.8, Lazio W 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 52%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Fiorentina W 2–0 Lazio W. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Fiorentina W

last 6
  • W@ Ternana W4–08 Nov
  • Lv Juventus W1–22 Nov
  • W@ Parma W2–125 Oct
  • D@ Como W1–117 Oct
  • Wv Sassuolo W2–03 Oct
  • L@ Inter Milano W0–227 Sep
1.7scored / game1.0conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Lazio W

last 6
  • Dv Napoli W0–08 Nov
  • L@ Inter Milano W0–31 Nov
  • Dv Como W0–025 Oct
  • L@ Ternana W0–117 Oct
  • L@ Roma W1–33 Oct
  • Dv Parma W0–026 Sep
0.2scored / game1.2conceded17%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 17 May 2026Fiorentina W2–1Lazio W

Serie A Women table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Roma W6600+1418
2Inter Milano W6510+1316
3Como 1907 W6321+211
4Fiorentina W6312+410
5Juventus W6303-29
6Como W6222-18
7Ternana W6213-67
8AC Milan W6204-56
9Napoli W6123-15
10Parma W6123-45
11Lazio W6033-63
12Sassuolo W6024-82

More Serie A Women predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 74, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Fiorentina W or Lazio W?

The model gives Fiorentina W 60%, the draw 24% and Lazio W 15%.

What is the likeliest score in Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Fiorentina W 2–0 Lazio W.

How many goals are expected in Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?

Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 52%.

When does Fiorentina W vs Lazio W kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 18:00 WAT, at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park – Serie A Women.