Novara vs Lecco prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.4 goals in total. Mind Score 76. Novara were beaten last time (LWL); Lecco's latest result was a win (WWD). The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Lecco 46%, Novara 32%. Table: Novara 14th (13 pts), Lecco 7th (20 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Novara read L W L D L W (two wins). Most recent: at Treviso, 0–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Lecco – sample of six: W W D W D D, with three wins. Most recent: v Juventus U23, 4–0 (won). Output is high: 3.0 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): Lecco 0–0 Novara. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Novara 1.1, Lecco 1.4 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 44%, BTTS 50%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.31. Likeliest score: Novara 0–1 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Novara
last 6- L@ Treviso0–28 Nov
- Wv Desenzano Calvina1–02 Nov
- L@ Arzignano Valchiampo0–225 Oct
- D@ Albinoleffe2–218 Oct
- Lv Cittadella0–210 Oct
- W@ Dolomiti Bellunesi2–14 Oct
Lecco
last 6- Wv Juventus U234–08 Nov
- W@ Dolomiti Bellunesi4–01 Nov
- Dv Folgore Caratese2–225 Oct
- W@ PRO Vercelli5–016 Oct
- Dv Alcione1–111 Oct
- Dv Union Brescia2–24 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Mar 2026Lecco0–0Novara
Serie C Girone A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Novara vs Lecco?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Novara or Lecco?
The model gives Novara 32%, the draw 23% and Lecco 46%.
What is the likeliest score in Novara vs Lecco?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Novara 0–1 Lecco.
How many goals are expected in Novara vs Lecco?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 50%.
When does Novara vs Lecco kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:30 WAT, at Stadio Silvio Piola – Serie C Girone A.