Gubbio vs Grosseto prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Gubbio (1.3) plus Grosseto (1.6) puts 2.9 goals on the board. Mind Score 77. Gubbio were beaten last time (LDD). The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Grosseto 46%, Gubbio 32%. Table: Gubbio 19th (8 pts), Grosseto 3rd (23 pts).
Recent form
Gubbio bring a L D D L L L line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: at Forli, 0–1 (lost). Just 0.0 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last six for Grosseto read L D W D W L (two wins). Most recent: v Pescara, 1–3 (lost). The attack is running at 2.2 per game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Gubbio 1.3, Grosseto 1.6 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 60%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: Gubbio 1–2 Grosseto. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Gubbio
last 6- L@ Forli0–17 Nov
- Dv Vis Pesaro0–01 Nov
- D@ Team Altamura0–027 Oct
- L@ Pineto0–123 Oct
- Lv Atalanta II0–218 Oct
- L@ Spezia0–210 Oct
Grosseto
last 6- Lv Pescara1–38 Nov
- D@ Vado2–231 Oct
- Wv Reggiana2–025 Oct
- D@ Livorno4–416 Oct
- W@ Vis Pesaro3–210 Oct
- Lv Sambenedettese1–33 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie C Girone B table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | -16 | 5 |
More Serie C Girone B predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Gubbio vs Grosseto?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Gubbio or Grosseto?
The model gives Gubbio 32%, the draw 22% and Grosseto 46%.
What is the likeliest score in Gubbio vs Grosseto?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Gubbio 1–2 Grosseto.
How many goals are expected in Gubbio vs Grosseto?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Gubbio vs Grosseto kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Stadio Pietro Barbetti – Serie C Girone B.