399 matches analysed today 13 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 06:53 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie C Girone C Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla Upcoming

Cosenza

WLDWD
Sunday · WAT
33%Cosenza27%Draw40%Casertana

Cosenza vs Casertana prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.3 goals in total. Mind Score 77. At 1.25 the market and the model roughly agree.

77Mind Score Odds1.25 Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Cosenza2.7033% X · Draw3.1027% 2 · Casertana2.3840%

Double chance

1X1.5060% 121.2873% X21.3667%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3668% Under 1.53.0032%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1043% Under 2.51.7057%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.7523% Under 3.51.2577%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8350% NG · No1.8350%

Half-time result

HT 13.4025% HT X2.0546% HT 23.1028%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The ratings barely separate them: Cosenza 33%, draw 27%, Casertana 40%. Table: Cosenza 19th (10 pts), Casertana 8th (20 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Cosenza read D W D L W L (two wins). Most recent: at SS Monopoli, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Casertana bring a W L D D W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Casarano, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Cosenza 1.1, Casertana 1.2 – 2.3 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 50%.

The pick

Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: Cosenza 0–1 Casertana. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Cosenza

last 6
  • D@ SS Monopoli0–08 Nov
  • Wv Inter U231–01 Nov
  • D@ Savoia1–124 Oct
  • Lv Team Altamura1–318 Oct
  • W@ AZ Picerno2–112 Oct
  • Lv Foggia0–24 Oct
0.8scored / game1.2conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Casertana

last 6
  • Wv Casarano1–07 Nov
  • L@ Giugliano0–131 Oct
  • Dv Bari1–123 Oct
  • D@ Sorrento0–018 Oct
  • Wv SS Monopoli3–110 Oct
  • L@ Cavese0–23 Oct
0.8scored / game0.8conceded33%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Serie C Girone C table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Potenza131021+1732
2Bari13652+723
3Catania13715+1322
4Scafatese13562+521
5Audace Cerignola13625+520
6SS Monopoli13553+420
7Inter U2313625+220
8Casertana13553+220
9Sorrento13625+120
10AZ Picerno13616+319
11Cavese13445+116
12Team Altamura13445-616
13Giugliano13517-1216
14Salernitana13364-215
15Barletta13364-215
16Foggia13436-315
17Casarano13436-615
18Savoia13265-712
19Cosenza13247-1310
20Crotone13148-91

More Serie C Girone C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Cosenza vs Casertana?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Cosenza or Casertana?

The model gives Cosenza 33%, the draw 27% and Casertana 40%.

What is the likeliest score in Cosenza vs Casertana?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Cosenza 0–1 Casertana.

How many goals are expected in Cosenza vs Casertana?

Around 2.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 50%.

When does Cosenza vs Casertana kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla – Serie C Girone C.