Sorrento vs SS Monopoli prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Only 2.0 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 64%. Price check: 1.53 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 35%, draw 29%, away 36%. Table: Sorrento 9th (20 pts), SS Monopoli 6th (20 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Sorrento read L L L D D L (zero wins). Most recent: at Catania, 0–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
The last six for SS Monopoli read D D W W L D (two wins). Most recent: v Cosenza, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.8 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sorrento 1.0, SS Monopoli 1.0 – 2.0 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 64%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.53 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Sorrento 0–1 SS Monopoli. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sorrento
last 6- L@ Catania0–28 Nov
- Lv Team Altamura1–231 Oct
- L@ Savoia0–227 Oct
- D@ Inter U231–124 Oct
- Dv Casertana0–018 Oct
- L@ Scafatese2–311 Oct
SS Monopoli
last 6- Dv Cosenza0–08 Nov
- D@ Barletta0–031 Oct
- Wv Audace Cerignola2–025 Oct
- W@ Inter U234–217 Oct
- L@ Casertana1–310 Oct
- Dv Savoia0–03 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie C Girone C table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.53 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sorrento or SS Monopoli?
The model gives Sorrento 35%, the draw 29% and SS Monopoli 36%.
What is the likeliest score in Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sorrento 0–1 SS Monopoli.
How many goals are expected in Sorrento vs SS Monopoli?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 49%.
When does Sorrento vs SS Monopoli kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 20:30 WAT, at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio – Serie C Girone C.