406 matches analysed today 6 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 08:21 WATTelegram18+
England Women's Championship Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Turf Moor Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
19%Burnley W22%Draw59%Southampton W

Burnley W vs Southampton W prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.8 projected goals. Probability 76%. Mind Score 76.

76Mind Score Odds– Score0–2

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Burnley W5.0019% X · Draw4.1522% 2 · Southampton W1.4759%

Double chance

1X2.2741% 121.1478% X21.0981%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3176% · fair Under 1.54.2524% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.4857% Under 2.52.3343%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.2735% Under 3.51.5465%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5761% NG · No2.1639%

Half-time result

HT 14.9518% HT X2.4440% HT 21.9541%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Southampton W shade it on the road, 59% to 19%. Table: Burnley W 11th (2 pts), Southampton W 6th (10 pts).

Recent form

Burnley W bring a L L L L L W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Newcastle United W, 0–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 3.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

The last six for Southampton W read W D D W D L (two wins). Most recent: v Sheffield United W, 4–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Burnley W 1.0, Southampton W 1.8 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 57%, BTTS 61%.

The pick

Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 76. Likeliest score: Burnley W 0–2 Southampton W. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Burnley W

last 6
  • L@ Newcastle United W0–38 Nov
  • L@ Nottingham Forest W0–41 Nov
  • L@ Manchester United W0–328 Oct
  • Lv Sheffield United W3–425 Oct
  • Lv Aston Villa W0–221 Oct
  • Wv Durham W3–218 Oct
1.0scored / game3.0conceded33%GG83%over 2.5

Southampton W

last 6
  • Wv Sheffield United W4–18 Nov
  • Dv Leicester City FC W1–11 Nov
  • D@ Leicester City FC W2–225 Oct
  • Wv Crystal Palace W3–221 Oct
  • D@ Bristol City W1–118 Oct
  • L@ Bristol City W1–24 Oct
2.0scored / game1.5conceded100%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Women's Championship table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle United W7610+1619
2Sunderland W7511+816
3Ipswich Town W7421+514
4Nottingham Forest W7340+613
5Bristol City W7412+413
6Southampton W7241+410
7Watford W7232-29
8Wolverhampton W7214-47
9Leicester City FC W7214-57
10Sheffield United W7205-66
11Burnley W7025-102
12Durham W7007-160

More Women's Championship predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Burnley W vs Southampton W?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76.

Who is favourite, Burnley W or Southampton W?

The model gives Burnley W 19%, the draw 22% and Southampton W 59%.

What is the likeliest score in Burnley W vs Southampton W?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Burnley W 0–2 Southampton W.

How many goals are expected in Burnley W vs Southampton W?

Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 57% and both teams to score 61%.

When does Burnley W vs Southampton W kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Turf Moor – Women's Championship.