406 matches analysed today 5 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 08:45 WATTelegram18+
England WSL Cup Wed 11 Nov 2026 · St Helens Stadium Full time
4–1
Half-time 1–1
62%Liverpool W23%Draw15%Aston Villa W

Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W prediction: Liverpool W to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Liverpool W to win

Projected goals favour Liverpool W: 2.5 against 1.3. Liverpool W's latest result was a win (WWLD); Aston Villa W were beaten last time (LDDW). Price check: 1.45 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

62Mind Score Odds1.45 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Liverpool W1.4562% X · Draw4.2523% 2 · Aston Villa W5.1015%

Double chance

1X1.0885% 121.1377% X22.3238%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1385% Under 1.54.6015%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.4667% Under 2.52.3833%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.2246% Under 3.51.5654%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5765% NG · No2.1635%

Half-time result

HT 11.9449% HT X2.4433% HT 25.0519%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Liverpool W are clear favourites at 62% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.

Recent form

The last six for Liverpool W read L L D L L L (zero wins). Most recent: v Arsenal W, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.7 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Aston Villa W bring a L D D W W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Manchester United W, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.0 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Oct 2026): Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Liverpool W 2.5, Aston Villa W 1.3 – 3.7 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 67%, BTTS 65%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Liverpool W to win – Mind Score 62, bookmaker price around 1.45 against a fair 1.62. Likeliest score: Liverpool W 2–1 Aston Villa W. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Liverpool W

last 6
  • Lv Arsenal W1–27 Nov
  • L@ West Ham W1–41 Nov
  • Dv London City Lionesses W2–225 Oct
  • Lv Manchester United W3–521 Oct
  • L@ Aston Villa W1–218 Oct
  • L@ Manchester United W0–13 Oct
1.3scored / game2.7conceded83%GG83%over 2.5

Aston Villa W

last 6
  • Lv Manchester United W0–17 Nov
  • D@ Arsenal W1–11 Nov
  • Dv Birmingham City W1–128 Oct
  • W@ Everton W3–225 Oct
  • W@ Burnley W2–021 Oct
  • Wv Liverpool W2–118 Oct
1.5scored / game1.0conceded67%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 18 Oct 2026Aston Villa W2–1Liverpool W

More WSL Cup predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

The Mind pick is Liverpool W to win with a Mind Score of 62, priced around 1.45 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Liverpool W or Aston Villa W?

The model gives Liverpool W 62%, the draw 23% and Aston Villa W 15%.

What is the likeliest score in Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Liverpool W 2–1 Aston Villa W.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

Around 3.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 67% and both teams to score 65%.

When does Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W kick off?

Wednesday 11 November 2026, 20:00 WAT, at St Helens Stadium – WSL Cup.