Peralada vs Badalona prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Peralada (1.3) plus Badalona (1.4) puts 2.7 goals on the board. Probability 72%. The 1.31 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Badalona 45%, Peralada 32%. Table: Peralada 15th (11 pts), Badalona 4th (17 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Peralada read L W L D D D (one win). Most recent: at San Juan Atletico de Montcada, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Badalona – sample of six: W W L D D W, with three wins. Most recent: v Mollerussa, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Peralada 1.3, Badalona 1.4 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 49%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 72, bookmaker price around 1.31 against a fair 1.39. Likeliest score: Peralada 1–2 Badalona. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Peralada
last 6- L@ San Juan Atletico de Montcada1–37 Nov
- Wv Pobla Mafumet2–11 Nov
- Lv Cerdanyola del Vallès0–125 Oct
- D@ Mollerussa2–218 Oct
- D@ Cornellà1–114 Oct
- Dv L'Hospitalet1–111 Oct
Badalona
last 6- Wv Mollerussa2–18 Nov
- W@ L'Hospitalet2–01 Nov
- Lv Cornellà1–425 Oct
- D@ Atlètic Lleida2–218 Oct
- Dv Vilanova0–011 Oct
- W@ Tona3–13 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 5 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vilanova | 10 | +3 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlètic Lleida | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 3 |  Europa II | 10 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Badalona | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  Montañesa | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Cerdanyola del Vallès | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  L'Hospitalet | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Tona | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Grama | 10 | +6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Pobla Mafumet | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 10 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Vilassar Mar | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Martinenc | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Cornellà | 10 | +1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Peralada | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mollerussa | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 |  L'Escala | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 |  San Cristóbal | 10 | -16 | 8 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 5 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Peralada vs Badalona?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 72, priced around 1.31 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Peralada or Badalona?
The model gives Peralada 32%, the draw 23% and Badalona 45%.
What is the likeliest score in Peralada vs Badalona?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Peralada 1–2 Badalona.
How many goals are expected in Peralada vs Badalona?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 49%.
When does Peralada vs Badalona kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 5.