412 matches analysed today 9 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 10:55 WATTelegram18+
Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 6 Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time

Buñol

LLWWD
1–0
Half-time 0–0

Acero

DDWDW
40%Buñol24%Draw37%Acero

Buñol vs Acero prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

Buñol (1.1) plus Acero (1.1) puts 2.2 goals on the board. Probability 66%. The 1.38 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

66Mind Score Odds1.38 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Buñol2.2940% X · Draw2.8824% 2 · Acero2.9537%

Double chance

1X1.2863% 121.3076% X21.4760%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3866% Under 1.52.6234%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.2740% Under 2.51.5460%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.2520% Under 3.51.1580%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.9156% NG · No1.7444%

Half-time result

HT 13.0627% HT X1.8647% HT 23.8526%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 40%, draw 24%, away 37%. Table: Buñol 7th (15 pts), Acero 6th (15 pts).

Recent form

Buñol – sample of six: D W W L L L, with two wins. Most recent: at Utiel, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.7 a game.

The last six for Acero read W D W D D D (two wins). Most recent: at Vall de Uxó, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.8 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Buñol 1.1, Acero 1.1 – 2.2 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 40%, BTTS 56%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.38 against a fair 1.53. Likeliest score: Buñol 2–1 Acero. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Buñol

last 6
  • D@ Utiel3–38 Nov
  • Wv Vall de Uxó2–031 Oct
  • W@ Crevillente1–025 Oct
  • L@ Villarreal III1–39 Oct
  • Lv Torrent0–14 Oct
  • L@ Ontinyent 19310–327 Sep
1.2scored / game1.7conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Acero

last 6
  • W@ Vall de Uxó2–18 Nov
  • Dv Hércules II0–01 Nov
  • W@ Torrent2–125 Oct
  • Dv Eldense B1–117 Oct
  • D@ Atzeneta1–110 Oct
  • Dv Torrellano1–13 Oct
1.2scored / game0.8conceded83%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Tercera División RFEF Group 6 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Villarreal III11803+724
2Levante II10541+1119
3Hércules II10541+619
4Crevillente11452+217
5Torrent10514+516
6Acero11362+215
7Buñol10433-115
8Vall de Uxó10352+314
9Saguntino10424-114
10Eldense B10343+313
11Roda10334-212
12Ontinyent 193110325011
13Torrellano10325-511
14Jove Español10244-610
15Atzeneta9162-29
16Utiel10154-68
17SC Torrevieja10226-88
18Soneja10226-88

More Tercera División RFEF Group 6 predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Buñol vs Acero?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.38 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Buñol or Acero?

The model gives Buñol 40%, the draw 24% and Acero 37%.

What is the likeliest score in Buñol vs Acero?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Buñol 2–1 Acero.

How many goals are expected in Buñol vs Acero?

Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 40% and both teams to score 56%.

When does Buñol vs Acero kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 17:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 6.