Unionistas II vs Arandina prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.5 goals in total. The line lands in 75% of the model's runs. The 1.20 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
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Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Unionistas II 38%, draw 22%, Arandina 40%. Table: Unionistas II 14th (8 pts), Arandina 12th (12 pts).
Recent form
Unionistas II bring a W L L W L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Mirandés II, 1–0 (won). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last six for Arandina read D D D D L D (zero wins). Most recent: v La Virgen del Camino, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Feb 2026): Unionistas II 2–2 Arandina. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Unionistas II 1.3, Arandina 1.3 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 58%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.20 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Unionistas II 0–1 Arandina. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Unionistas II
last 6- Wv Mirandés II1–07 Nov
- L@ La Virgen del Camino1–231 Oct
- Lv Guijuelo0–125 Oct
- W@ Atlético Mansillés2–117 Oct
- Lv Bembibre1–210 Oct
- L@ Cristo Atlético0–34 Oct
Arandina
last 6- Dv La Virgen del Camino0–08 Nov
- D@ Guijuelo2–21 Nov
- Dv Atlético Mansillés2–224 Oct
- D@ Bembibre1–117 Oct
- Lv Cristo Atlético1–310 Oct
- D@ Turégano1–13 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 22 Feb 2026Unionistas II2–2Arandina
Tercera División RFEF Group 8 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UD Santa Marta | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Cristo Atlético | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Cultural Leonesa II | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Burgos Promesas | 10 | +10 | 20 |
| 5 |  Palencia CF | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  La Virgen del Camino | 10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Almazán | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Bembibre | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Villaralbo | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Guijuelo | 9 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |  Atlético Mansillés | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Arandina | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Turégano | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Unionistas II | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Calasanz de Soria | 10 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 |  Colegios Diocesanos | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 10 | -18 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mirandés II | 10 | -10 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Unionistas II vs Arandina?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.20 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Unionistas II or Arandina?
The model gives Unionistas II 38%, the draw 22% and Arandina 40%.
What is the likeliest score in Unionistas II vs Arandina?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Unionistas II 0–1 Arandina.
How many goals are expected in Unionistas II vs Arandina?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Unionistas II vs Arandina kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Las Pistas del Helmantico – Tercera División RFEF Group 8.