Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (2.7) plus Arenal (0.6) puts 3.3 goals on the board. The line lands in 68% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas strong home favourites (79%). Table: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2nd (24 pts), Arenal 18th (4 pts).
Recent form
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas bring a W D D W W D line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Alcúdia, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.0 a game. 6 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Arenal read L L D L L L (zero wins). Most recent: v Platges Calvià, 0–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2.7, Arenal 0.6 – 3.3 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 68%, both to score at 50%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.46. Likeliest score: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3–0 Arenal. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
last 6- W@ Alcúdia3–07 Nov
- Dv Constància0–01 Nov
- D@ Santanyí0–024 Oct
- W@ Inter Ibiza3–010 Oct
- Wv Formentera2–04 Oct
- D@ Andratx0–026 Sep
Arenal
last 6- Lv Platges Calvià0–27 Nov
- L@ Binissalem0–331 Oct
- Dv Manacor1–121 Oct
- Lv PE Sant Jordi0–310 Oct
- L@ Llosetense1–33 Oct
- Lv Porreres1–226 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 11 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Platges Calvià | 10 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 10 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Manacor | 10 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Constància | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 |  Porreres | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  PE Sant Jordi | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Llosetense | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 |  Cardassar | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Formentera | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Santanyí | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Binissalem | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alcúdia | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Andratx | 10 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |  Mercadal | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sineu | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Migjorn | 10 | -13 | 5 |
| 17 |  Inter Ibiza | 10 | -18 | 5 |
| 18 |  Arenal | 10 | -16 | 4 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 11 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or Arenal?
The model gives Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 79%, the draw 16% and Arenal 5%.
What is the likeliest score in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3–0 Arenal.
How many goals are expected in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 68% and both teams to score 50%.
When does Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal kick off?
Wednesday 11 November 2026, 16:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 11.