421 matches analysed today 66 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:11 WATTelegram18+
Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 11 Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time
0–2
Half-time 0–0
64%Platges Calvià25%Draw11%Santanyí

Platges Calvià vs Santanyí prediction: Platges Calvià to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Platges Calvià to win

Platges Calvià rate better at both ends – 1.9 expected for, 0.7 against. The bookmaker's 1.62 beats the model's fair price of 1.55.

64Mind Score Odds1.62 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Platges Calvià1.6264% X · Draw3.5225% 2 · Santanyí4.6011%

Double chance

1X1.1189% 121.2075% X22.0036%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2772% Under 1.53.1428%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8948% Under 2.51.7852%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.1427% Under 3.51.2773%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8551% NG · No1.7949%

Half-time result

HT 12.1946% HT X2.1141% HT 25.2013%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Platges Calvià are clear favourites at 64% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Platges Calvià 2nd (24 pts), Santanyí 6th (17 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Platges Calvià read W W W W W W (six wins). Most recent: at Arenal, 2–0 (won). Output is high: 2.7 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Santanyí – sample of six: L D D W W D, with two wins. Most recent: v Binissalem, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Platges Calvià 1.9, Santanyí 0.7 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 51%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Platges Calvià to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.62 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Platges Calvià 1–0 Santanyí. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Platges Calvià

last 6
  • W@ Arenal2–07 Nov
  • Wv Inter Ibiza5–131 Oct
  • W@ Formentera3–224 Oct
  • Wv Andratx1–017 Oct
  • W@ Sineu2–010 Oct
  • Wv Migjorn3–13 Oct
2.7scored / game0.7conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Santanyí

last 6
  • Lv Binissalem1–26 Nov
  • D@ Manacor1–131 Oct
  • Dv Ibiza Islas Pitiusas0–024 Oct
  • Wv Llosetense3–011 Oct
  • W@ Porreres1–04 Oct
  • Dv Mercadal1–126 Sep
1.2scored / game0.7conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Tercera División RFEF Group 11 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibiza Islas Pitiusas10730+1424
2Platges Calvià11803+1224
3Manacor10631+1221
4Constància11551+1020
5Porreres10604+518
6Santanyí10451+617
7PE Sant Jordi9441+616
8Llosetense10514016
9Formentera10433+415
10Cardassar10424+414
11Binissalem10424+114
12Alcúdia10406-512
13Sineu11326-711
14Andratx11245-510
15Mercadal10235-79
16Migjorn11137-136
17Arenal11128-165
18Inter Ibiza11128-215

More Tercera División RFEF Group 11 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Platges Calvià vs Santanyí?

The Mind pick is Platges Calvià to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.62 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Platges Calvià or Santanyí?

The model gives Platges Calvià 64%, the draw 25% and Santanyí 11%.

What is the likeliest score in Platges Calvià vs Santanyí?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Platges Calvià 1–0 Santanyí.

How many goals are expected in Platges Calvià vs Santanyí?

Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 51%.

When does Platges Calvià vs Santanyí kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 17:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 11.