Calasancio vs Cenicero prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Calasancio (1.8) plus Cenicero (1.1) puts 2.9 goals on the board. Probability 75%. The 1.26 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Calasancio 55%, Cenicero 20%, draw 24%. Table: Calasancio 13th (11 pts), Cenicero 16th (6 pts).
Recent form
Calasancio bring a W L W L L W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at River Ebro, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game.
Cenicero bring a D L L L L L line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: v Agoncillo, 2–2 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Calasancio 1.8, Cenicero 1.1 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 58%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.26 against a fair 1.34. Likeliest score: Calasancio 2–1 Cenicero. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Calasancio
last 6- W@ River Ebro3–18 Nov
- Lv Berceo0–131 Oct
- W@ Comillas2–025 Oct
- Lv Varea0–118 Oct
- L@ Vianés0–411 Oct
- Wv Casalarreina2–14 Oct
Cenicero
last 6- Dv Agoncillo2–28 Nov
- L@ Oyonesa1–41 Nov
- Lv La Calzada0–125 Oct
- L@ Pradejón0–118 Oct
- Lv San Marcial1–311 Oct
- L@ Yagüe1–23 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 16 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Haro Deportivo | 10 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  La Calzada | 10 | +5 | 24 |
| 3 |  Alfaro | 10 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 |  Calahorra | 10 | +18 | 21 |
| 5 |  Varea | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Berceo | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 |  Anguiano | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Oyonesa | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Agoncillo | 10 | +6 | 16 |
| 10 |  San Marcial | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pradejón | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Yagüe | 10 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 |  Calasancio | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 |  River Ebro | 10 | -12 | 7 |
| 15 |  Comillas | 10 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Cenicero | 10 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Vianés | 10 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Casalarreina | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Calasancio vs Cenicero?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.26 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Calasancio or Cenicero?
The model gives Calasancio 55%, the draw 24% and Cenicero 20%.
What is the likeliest score in Calasancio vs Cenicero?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Calasancio 2–1 Cenicero.
How many goals are expected in Calasancio vs Cenicero?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Calasancio vs Cenicero kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 16.