469 matches analysed today 87 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 16:51 WATTelegram18+
Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 17 Sun 15 Nov 2026 Live 63'

Robres

LDDDD
3–1
Half-time 2–1

Illueca

DLWLD
41%Robres23%Draw36%Illueca

Robres vs Illueca prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.7 projected goals. Probability 72%. The 1.30 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

72Mind Score Odds1.30 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Robres2.1841% X · Draw3.0823% 2 · Illueca2.9536%

Double chance

1X1.2864% 121.2677% X21.5159%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3072% Under 1.52.9728%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9848% Under 2.51.7152%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.3428% Under 3.51.2472%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7650% NG · No1.8850%

Half-time result

HT 12.8231% HT X2.0042% HT 23.7227%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 41%, draw 23%, away 36%. Table: Robres 17th (5 pts), Illueca 15th (11 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Robres read D D D D L L (zero wins). Most recent: at Belchite 97, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

The last six for Illueca read D L W L D W (two wins). Most recent: v Caspe, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Head-to-head

Latest (Mar 2026): Robres 2–3 Illueca. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Robres 1.4, Illueca 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 50%.

The pick

Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 72, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.39. Likeliest score: Robres 2–1 Illueca. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Robres

last 6
  • D@ Belchite 971–18 Nov
  • Dv Ejea1–11 Nov
  • D@ Brea0–025 Oct
  • Dv Cuarte2–218 Oct
  • L@ Épila0–310 Oct
  • Lv Binéfar1–23 Oct
0.8scored / game1.5conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Illueca

last 6
  • Dv Caspe2–28 Nov
  • L@ La Almunia0–231 Oct
  • Wv CDJ Tamarite4–024 Oct
  • L@ Andorra CF1–318 Oct
  • Dv CD Sietamo0–010 Oct
  • W@ Almudévar1–04 Oct
1.3scored / game1.2conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 22 Mar 2026Robres2–3Illueca

Tercera División RFEF Group 17 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Zaragoza II10721+1423
2Ejea10622+620
3Cuarte10532+818
4Brea10532+818
5La Almunia10514+216
6Caspe10361+415
7Atlético Monzón10433-315
8Huesca II10352+214
9Binéfar10343+113
10CD Sietamo10343+113
11Épila10334012
12Almudévar10334-112
13Fraga10334-112
14Andorra CF10334-512
15Illueca10325-311
16CDJ Tamarite10307-89
17Robres10055-105
18Belchite 9710046-154

More Tercera División RFEF Group 17 predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Robres vs Illueca?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 72, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Robres or Illueca?

The model gives Robres 41%, the draw 23% and Illueca 36%.

What is the likeliest score in Robres vs Illueca?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Robres 2–1 Illueca.

How many goals are expected in Robres vs Illueca?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 50%.

When does Robres vs Illueca kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 15:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 17.