421 matches analysed today 51 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:04 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone A Sun 1 Nov 2026 Full time

Ligorna

WWWLW
0–0
Half-time 0–0
58%Ligorna22%Draw19%Sestri Levante

Ligorna vs Sestri Levante prediction: Ligorna or draw

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Ligorna or draw

Covering two results: Ligorna win or draw (81%). Ligorna's form is mixed (DDW, 1 W 2 D 0 L); Sestri Levante won most recently (WDD). Mind Score 81.

81Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Ligorna1.6958% X · Draw3.4022% 2 · Sestri Levante4.9319%

Double chance

1X1.2481% · fair 121.2878% · fair X22.4142% · fair

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2972% Under 1.53.1528%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9647% Under 2.51.7553%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.2527% Under 3.51.2873%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.0149% NG · No1.8151%

Half-time result

HT 12.4441% · fair HT X2.3742% · fair HT 25.9417% · fair

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Ligorna edge it at home, 58% to 19%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Ligorna 5th (18 pts), Sestri Levante 12th (13 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Ligorna read W L W W W W (five wins). Most recent: at Valenzana, 1–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Sestri Levante bring a D L D W W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Saluzzo, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Ligorna 1.7, Sestri Levante 0.9 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 49%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Ligorna or draw – Mind Score 81. Likeliest score: Ligorna 1–0 Sestri Levante. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Ligorna

last 6
  • W@ Valenzana1–025 Oct
  • Lv Bra1–218 Oct
  • W@ Gozzano4–011 Oct
  • Wv Saluzzo2–14 Oct
  • W@ Chisola2–127 Sep
  • W@ Celle Varazze2–020 Sep
2.0scored / game0.7conceded50%GG67%over 2.5

Sestri Levante

last 6
  • Dv Saluzzo0–025 Oct
  • L@ Sanremese0–118 Oct
  • Dv Celle Varazze1–111 Oct
  • Wv Pistoiese1–07 Oct
  • W@ Borgosesia1–04 Oct
  • Lv Biellese1–227 Sep
0.7scored / game0.7conceded33%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Serie D Girone A table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?

The Mind pick is Ligorna or draw with a Mind Score of 81.

Who is favourite, Ligorna or Sestri Levante?

The model gives Ligorna 58%, the draw 22% and Sestri Levante 19%.

What is the likeliest score in Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ligorna 1–0 Sestri Levante.

How many goals are expected in Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?

Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 49%.

When does Ligorna vs Sestri Levante kick off?

Sunday 1 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Serie D Girone A.