421 matches analysed today 67 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:34 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone B Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
54%Virtus Verona28%Draw19%Fiorenzuola

Virtus Verona vs Fiorenzuola prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 2.1, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 65. The 1.33 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

65Mind Score Odds1.33 Score2–0

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Virtus Verona1.8054% X · Draw3.2628% 2 · Fiorenzuola3.8419%

Double chance

1X1.1681% 121.2372% X21.7746%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3365% Under 1.52.8335%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.0840% Under 2.51.6460%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.7820% Under 3.51.1980%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.9052% NG · No1.7548%

Half-time result

HT 12.4534% HT X2.0148% HT 24.6018%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Virtus Verona edge it at home, 54% to 19%, with the draw on 28%. Table: Virtus Verona 12th (12 pts), Fiorenzuola 17th (6 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Virtus Verona read L L L W D L (one win). Most recent: at Leon, 1–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.0 a game.

Fiorenzuola bring a L L W L D D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Club Milano, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Virtus Verona 1.3, Fiorenzuola 0.8 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 60%.

The pick

The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.53. Likeliest score: Virtus Verona 2–0 Fiorenzuola. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Virtus Verona

last 6
  • L@ Leon1–48 Nov
  • Lv Milan II2–31 Nov
  • L@ Nibbiano & Valtidone0–125 Oct
  • Wv Tritium2–018 Oct
  • Dv Chievo1–111 Oct
  • L@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0–34 Oct
1.0scored / game2.0conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Fiorenzuola

last 6
  • Lv Club Milano1–28 Nov
  • L@ Chievo1–231 Oct
  • Wv Rovato Vertovese2–125 Oct
  • L@ Pavonese1–218 Oct
  • Dv Piacenza0–010 Oct
  • D@ Villa Valle0–04 Oct
0.8scored / game1.2conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Serie D Girone B table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Virtus Verona vs Fiorenzuola?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Virtus Verona or Fiorenzuola?

The model gives Virtus Verona 54%, the draw 28% and Fiorenzuola 19%.

What is the likeliest score in Virtus Verona vs Fiorenzuola?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Virtus Verona 2–0 Fiorenzuola.

How many goals are expected in Virtus Verona vs Fiorenzuola?

Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 40% and both teams to score 52%.

When does Virtus Verona vs Fiorenzuola kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini – Serie D Girone B.