Luparense vs Bassano Virtus prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Only 2.3 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 57% of the model's runs. Luparense's form is mixed (DDD, 0 W 3 D 0 L). At 1.70 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Luparense edge it at home, 52% to 32%, with the draw on 17%. Table: Luparense 2nd (21 pts), Bassano Virtus 10th (14 pts).
Recent form
Luparense bring a D D D D W W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Campodarsego, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.5 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Bassano Virtus read D D L L W W (two wins). Most recent: v Calvi Noale, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Luparense 1.3, Bassano Virtus 0.9 – 2.3 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 45%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 57, bookmaker price around 1.70 against a fair 1.75. Likeliest score: Luparense 1–0 Bassano Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Luparense
last 6- D@ Campodarsego0–08 Nov
- Dv Calvi Noale2–21 Nov
- D@ Altavilla0–025 Oct
- D@ Sandona0–018 Oct
- Wv Este1–011 Oct
- W@ Brian Lignano3–14 Oct
Bassano Virtus
last 6- Dv Calvi Noale1–18 Nov
- D@ Clodiense0–01 Nov
- Lv Sandona0–325 Oct
- L@ Virtus Bolzano1–218 Oct
- Wv Brian Lignano1–011 Oct
- W@ Legnago Salus2–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie D Girone C table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cjarlins Muzane | 11 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Luparense | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Sandona | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Clodiense | 11 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Campodarsego | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mestre | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Legnago Salus | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Este | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Conegliano | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bassano Virtus | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  FC Obermais | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Triestina | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 |  LME | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Altavilla | 11 | +5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Virtus Bolzano | 11 | -16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Calvi Noale | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |  Schio | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Brian Lignano | 11 | -11 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone C predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Luparense vs Bassano Virtus?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 57, priced around 1.70 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Luparense or Bassano Virtus?
The model gives Luparense 52%, the draw 17% and Bassano Virtus 32%.
What is the likeliest score in Luparense vs Bassano Virtus?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Luparense 1–0 Bassano Virtus.
How many goals are expected in Luparense vs Bassano Virtus?
Around 2.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 45%.
When does Luparense vs Bassano Virtus kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Serie D Girone C.