Reggina vs Sambiase prediction: Reggina to win
The model lands a Reggina win in 55% of simulations. Sambiase are unbeaten across their last 3 (WWW). The 1.72 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Reggina edge it at home, 55% to 29%, with the draw on 17%. Table: Reggina 1st (26 pts), Sambiase 2nd (26 pts).
Recent form
Reggina bring a W W D W D L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Enna, 3–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.5 per game.
Sambiase – sample of six: W W W D W L, with four wins. Most recent: v Ragusa, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Reggina 4–2 Sambiase. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Reggina 1.7, Sambiase 1.1 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 50%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Reggina to win – Mind Score 55, bookmaker price around 1.72 against a fair 1.83. Likeliest score: Reggina 1–0 Sambiase. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Reggina
last 6- W@ Enna3–08 Nov
- Wv Ragusa5–21 Nov
- D@ CastrumFavara2–228 Oct
- W@ Nissa2–118 Oct
- Dv Vibonese1–111 Oct
- L@ Igea Virtus2–37 Oct
Sambiase
last 6- Wv Ragusa2–08 Nov
- W@ Igea Virtus4–21 Nov
- Wv Nissa1–025 Oct
- D@ Calcio Avola1–118 Oct
- Wv Trapani 19051–011 Oct
- L@ Licata1–24 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 3 May 2026Reggina4–2Sambiase
Serie D Girone I table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Reggina vs Sambiase?
The Mind pick is Reggina to win with a Mind Score of 55, priced around 1.72 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Reggina or Sambiase?
The model gives Reggina 55%, the draw 17% and Sambiase 29%.
What is the likeliest score in Reggina vs Sambiase?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Reggina 1–0 Sambiase.
How many goals are expected in Reggina vs Sambiase?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 50%.
When does Reggina vs Sambiase kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT, at Stadio Oreste Granillo – Serie D Girone I.