Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina prediction: Fidelis Andria or draw
Covering two results: Fidelis Andria win or draw (82%). Fidelis Andria's form is mixed (DWL, 1 W 1 D 1 L); Nocerina have no win in 3 (LLL). Price check: 1.25 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Fidelis Andria edge it at home, 56% to 18%, with the draw on 25%. Table: Fidelis Andria 8th (17 pts), Nocerina 12th (13 pts).
Recent form
Fidelis Andria bring a D W L W W W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Ebolitana, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Nocerina – sample of six: L L L L L D, with zero wins. Most recent: v Real Forio 2014, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Fidelis Andria 1.8, Nocerina 0.9 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 54%.
The pick
Pick: Fidelis Andria or draw – Mind Score 82, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.23. Likeliest score: Fidelis Andria 1–0 Nocerina. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Fidelis Andria
last 6- D@ Ebolitana0–08 Nov
- Wv Francavilla2–01 Nov
- Lv Virtus Francavilla0–128 Oct
- W@ Nardò3–125 Oct
- Wv Virtus Francavilla2–118 Oct
- W@ Real Normanna1–011 Oct
Nocerina
last 6- Lv Real Forio 20141–28 Nov
- L@ Gravina1–21 Nov
- Lv Gladiator1–225 Oct
- L@ Martina Franca0–218 Oct
- Lv Brindisi0–111 Oct
- Dv Turris1–17 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie D Girone H table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
The Mind pick is Fidelis Andria or draw with a Mind Score of 82, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Fidelis Andria or Nocerina?
The model gives Fidelis Andria 56%, the draw 25% and Nocerina 18%.
What is the likeliest score in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Fidelis Andria 1–0 Nocerina.
How many goals are expected in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 49% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 15:30 WAT – Serie D Girone H.