Pietralunga vs Atletico Ascoli prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.0 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 80% of the model's runs. Atletico Ascoli's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). At 1.23 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Atletico Ascoli 44%, Pietralunga 28%. Table: Pietralunga 16th (9 pts), Atletico Ascoli 10th (15 pts).
Recent form
Pietralunga – sample of six: L D L W W L, with two wins. Most recent: at Vigor Senigallia, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Atletico Ascoli read D L D W W L (two wins). Most recent: v Teramo, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Pietralunga 0.8, Atletico Ascoli 1.1 – 2.0 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 61%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 80, bookmaker price around 1.23 against a fair 1.25. Likeliest score: Pietralunga 0–1 Atletico Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Pietralunga
last 6- L@ Vigor Senigallia1–28 Nov
- Dv Fossombrone0–01 Nov
- L@ Real Giulianova0–125 Oct
- Wv Sporting Trestina2–018 Oct
- W@ Angelana1–011 Oct
- Lv L'Aquila0–34 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
last 6- Dv Teramo1–18 Nov
- L@ Ancona0–11 Nov
- D@ Termoli Calcio0–025 Oct
- Wv Lanciano FC5–118 Oct
- W@ Vigor Senigallia2–111 Oct
- Lv Fossombrone0–14 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie D Girone F table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Teramo | 11 | +13 | 26 |
| 2 |  L'Aquila | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ancona | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vigor Senigallia | 11 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Fossombrone | 11 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Montecchio Gallo | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Notaresco | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Giulianova | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atletico Ascoli | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Termoli Calcio | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lanciano FC | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Maceratese | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Sporting Trestina | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pietralunga | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Santegidiese | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Angelana | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone F predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Pietralunga vs Atletico Ascoli?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 80, priced around 1.23 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Pietralunga or Atletico Ascoli?
The model gives Pietralunga 28%, the draw 28% and Atletico Ascoli 44%.
What is the likeliest score in Pietralunga vs Atletico Ascoli?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Pietralunga 0–1 Atletico Ascoli.
How many goals are expected in Pietralunga vs Atletico Ascoli?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 39% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Pietralunga vs Atletico Ascoli kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Serie D Girone F.