399 matches analysed today 8 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 06:00 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone G Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Stadio Marcello Torre Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
59%Paganese22%Draw20%Atletico Lodigiani

Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 3.1, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 81% of the model's runs. Mind Score 81.

81Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Paganese1.6259% X · Draw3.5022% 2 · Atletico Lodigiani4.9020%

Double chance

1X1.1580% 121.2478% X22.0541%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2381% · fair Under 1.55.3919% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8055% Under 2.51.8545%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.6837% · fair Under 3.51.6063% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.9553% NG · No1.8747%

Half-time result

HT 12.1844% HT X2.1238% HT 25.1019%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Paganese 59%, Atletico Lodigiani 20%, draw 22%. Table: Paganese 10th (14 pts), Atletico Lodigiani 18th (6 pts).

Recent form

Paganese bring a L D L L W D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Sarrabus Ogliastra, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.

The last six for Atletico Lodigiani read W D D L L L (one win). Most recent: v Ossese, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Paganese 2.0, Atletico Lodigiani 1.1 – 3.1 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both to score at 53%.

The pick

Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 81. Likeliest score: Paganese 2–1 Atletico Lodigiani. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Paganese

last 6
  • L@ Sarrabus Ogliastra0–28 Nov
  • Dv Ossese1–11 Nov
  • L@ Città di Anagni1–225 Oct
  • L@ Venafro0–118 Oct
  • Wv Budoni3–011 Oct
  • Dv Real Normanna1–17 Oct
1.0scored / game1.2conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Atletico Lodigiani

last 6
  • Wv Ossese3–08 Nov
  • D@ Gelbison1–11 Nov
  • Dv Venafro1–125 Oct
  • L@ Afragolese0–417 Oct
  • Lv Sarnese0–111 Oct
  • L@ Unipomezia1–34 Oct
1.0scored / game1.7conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Serie D Girone G table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sarnese11821+1126
2Trastevere11632021
3Albalonga11452+417
4Monastir11524+317
5Certosa V. Campagnano11524+317
6Unipomezia11443+416
7Anzio11443+316
8Afragolese11362+515
9Aranova11434-115
10Paganese11425+414
11Ossese11353014
12Città di Anagni11425-214
13Budoni11425-514
14Venafro11344-413
15Sarrabus Ogliastra11335-112
16Gelbison11326-811
17Latte Dolce11245-510
18Atletico Lodigiani11137-116

More Serie D Girone G predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 81.

Who is favourite, Paganese or Atletico Lodigiani?

The model gives Paganese 59%, the draw 22% and Atletico Lodigiani 20%.

What is the likeliest score in Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Paganese 2–1 Atletico Lodigiani.

How many goals are expected in Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?

Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 53%.

When does Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT, at Stadio Marcello Torre – Serie D Girone G.