Europe U20 Elite League Thu 12 Nov 2026 Full time

Portugal U20

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40%Italy U2021%Draw39%Portugal U20

Italy U20 vs Portugal U20 prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

Italy U20 (1.6) plus Portugal U20 (1.5) puts 3.1 goals on the board. Mind Score 78. Price check: 1.23 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

78Mind Score Odds1.23 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Italy U202.3940% X · Draw3.2821% 2 · Portugal U202.5339%

Double chance

1X1.3961% 121.2479% X21.4360%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2378% Under 1.53.4222%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7956% Under 2.51.8844%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.9234% Under 3.51.3166%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6464% NG · No2.0736%

Half-time result

HT 12.9731% HT X2.1339% HT 23.2230%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 40%, draw 21%, away 39%.

Recent form

Italy U20 bring a W L L D line into this one: one win from four. Most recent: at France U20, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.3 a game.

Portugal U20 bring a W L L W W W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v Czechia U20, 5–0 (won). The attack is running at 3.0 per game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Italy U20 1.6, Portugal U20 1.5 – 3.1 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both to score at 64%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78, bookmaker price around 1.23 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: Italy U20 2–1 Portugal U20. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.