Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula prediction: Tritons Vallarta or draw
Covering two results: Tritons Vallarta win or draw (80%). Price check: 1.26 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Tritons Vallarta 59%, Tapachula 20%, draw 21%.
Recent form
Tritons Vallarta – sample of six: D W L D L L, with one win. Most recent: at Deportiva Venados, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.3 a game.
The last six for Tapachula read L L W L L L (one win). Most recent: v Zacatepec 1948, 2–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Tritons Vallarta 1–0 Tapachula. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Tritons Vallarta 1.9, Tapachula 1.0 – 2.9 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both to score at 58%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Tritons Vallarta or draw – Mind Score 80, bookmaker price around 1.26 against a fair 1.25. Likeliest score: Tritons Vallarta 1–0 Tapachula. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Tritons Vallarta
last 6- D@ Deportiva Venados1–18 Nov
- Wv Pioneros de Cancún3–230 Oct
- L@ Chapulineros1–224 Oct
- Dv H2O Purepechas0–016 Oct
- L@ Irapuato0–111 Oct
- L@ Lobos ULMX1–24 Oct
Tapachula
last 6- Lv Zacatepec 19482–46 Nov
- L@ Tigres de Alica1–431 Oct
- Wv H2O Purepechas1–025 Oct
- Lv Deportiva Venados1–420 Oct
- L@ Montañeses1–211 Oct
- Lv Chapulineros2–34 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Apr 2026Tritons Vallarta1–0Tapachula
More predictions
League page →
Reboceros La Piedad0
Racing de Veracruz2
Zacatepec 1948
MontañesesFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula?
The Mind pick is Tritons Vallarta or draw with a Mind Score of 80, priced around 1.26 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Tritons Vallarta or Tapachula?
The model gives Tritons Vallarta 59%, the draw 21% and Tapachula 20%.
What is the likeliest score in Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Tritons Vallarta 1–0 Tapachula.
How many goals are expected in Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Tritons Vallarta vs Tapachula kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 23:00 WAT – .