Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.7 projected goals. Probability 75%. Levski Sofia arrive off a defeat (LWWD); Jagiellonia have taken 4 wins from 5 (WLWWW). Price check: 1.28 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Levski Sofia edge it at home, 43% to 36%, with the draw on 21%. Table: Levski Sofia 10th (7 pts), Jagiellonia 29th (3 pts).
Recent form
Levski Sofia – sample of six: W D W W D W, with four wins. Most recent: at Dunav Ruse, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Jagiellonia read W W W L L W (four wins). Most recent: at Wieczysta Kraków, 3–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.2 per game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Levski Sofia 1.4, Jagiellonia 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Levski Sofia 2–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Levski Sofia
last 6- W@ Dunav Ruse1–031 Oct
- D@ Arda Kardzhali1–127 Oct
- W@ Plzen2–122 Oct
- W@ Spartak Pleven2–018 Oct
- D@ NEC Nijmegen1–115 Oct
- W@ Cherno More Varna2–011 Oct
Jagiellonia
last 6- W@ Wieczysta Kraków3–131 Oct
- W@ Lechia Gdansk6–028 Oct
- Wv Wisla Plock1–025 Oct
- Lv Anderlecht0–322 Oct
- L@ Zaglebie Lubin0–118 Oct
- Wv Ararat-Armenia3–115 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
UEFA Europa League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia?
The model gives Levski Sofia 43%, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia 36%.
What is the likeliest score in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Levski Sofia 2–1 Jagiellonia.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia kick off?
Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT, at Vasil Levski National Stadium – UEFA Europa League.