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Friendlies Mon 16 Nov 2026 · Estadi de la FAF Upcoming

Andorra

LDLLW
Monday · WAT
26%Andorra25%Draw50%Azerbaijan

Andorra vs Azerbaijan prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick Under 3.5 goals

Only 2.0 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 86% of the model's runs. Mind Score 86.

86Mind Score Odds– Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Andorra4.9126% X · Draw3.3925% 2 · Azerbaijan1.6450%

Double chance

1X1.9850% 121.2175% X21.0974%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4062% Under 1.52.6638%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.3536% Under 2.51.5064%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.57.0314% · fair Under 3.51.1786% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.2442% NG · No1.5558%

Half-time result

HT 15.6120% HT X2.0850% HT 22.2230%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Azerbaijan shade it on the road, 50% to 26%.

Recent form

Andorra – sample of six: W L L D L L, with one win. Most recent: v Gibraltar, 2–0 (won). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

The last six for Azerbaijan read W W D D W W (four wins). Most recent: at Liechtenstein, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Andorra 0.8, Azerbaijan 1.2 – 2.0 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 64%.

The pick

Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 86. Likeliest score: Andorra 0–1 Azerbaijan. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Andorra

last 6
  • Wv Gibraltar2–013 Nov
  • L@ Malta0–14 Oct
  • L@ Lithuania0–330 Sep
  • D@ Gibraltar0–027 Sep
  • Lv Malta1–224 Sep
  • L@ Kosovo0–37 Jun
0.5scored / game1.5conceded17%GG50%over 2.5

Azerbaijan

last 6
  • W@ Liechtenstein1–013 Nov
  • Wv Lithuania1–04 Oct
  • Dv Liechtenstein0–01 Oct
  • D@ Lithuania1–127 Sep
  • Wv Tajikistan1–023 Sep
  • Wv San Marino2–19 Jun
1.0scored / game0.3conceded33%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Andorra vs Azerbaijan?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 86.

Who is favourite, Andorra or Azerbaijan?

The model gives Andorra 26%, the draw 25% and Azerbaijan 50%.

What is the likeliest score in Andorra vs Azerbaijan?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Andorra 0–1 Azerbaijan.

How many goals are expected in Andorra vs Azerbaijan?

Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 42%.

When does Andorra vs Azerbaijan kick off?

Monday 16 November 2026, 19:00 WAT, at Estadi de la FAF – Friendlies.