Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese prediction: Pistoiese to win
The model lands a Pistoiese win in 65% of simulations. Sestri Levante's latest result was a win (WDD); Pistoiese's form is mixed (DWL, 1 W 1 D 1 L). Price check: 1.57 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Pistoiese 65%, Sestri Levante 10%.
Recent form
Sestri Levante – sample of six: W L D L L W, with two wins. Most recent: at Borgosesia, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.3 a game.
Pistoiese – sample of six: W W W W W W, with six wins. Most recent: at USD Casatese, 3–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sestri Levante 0.7, Pistoiese 1.9 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 42%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Pistoiese to win – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.57 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: Sestri Levante 0–1 Pistoiese. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sestri Levante
last 6- W@ Borgosesia1–04 Oct
- Lv Biellese1–227 Sep
- D@ Lascaris1–120 Sep
- Lv Fezzanese0–316 Sep
- L@ Alessandria1–213 Sep
- Wv Asti2–06 Sep
Pistoiese
last 6- W@ USD Casatese3–04 Oct
- Wv Sant'Angelo3–027 Sep
- W@ Varesina1–020 Sep
- Wv Arconatese5–016 Sep
- W@ Crema3–113 Sep
- Wv Solbiatese2–06 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
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Pro Patria5Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
The Mind pick is Pistoiese to win with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.57 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sestri Levante or Pistoiese?
The model gives Sestri Levante 10%, the draw 25% and Pistoiese 65%.
What is the likeliest score in Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sestri Levante 0–1 Pistoiese.
How many goals are expected in Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 42%.
When does Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese kick off?
Wednesday 7 October 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Giuseppe Sivori – Coppa Italia Serie D.