Bonaire vs Cuba prediction: Over 2.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 3.8, clear of the 2.5 line. Probability 72%. Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Cuba 74%, Bonaire 10%.
Recent form
Bonaire – sample of six: W L L L L W, with two wins. Most recent: at Grenada, 4–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 2.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Cuba – sample of five: D D W W D, with two wins. Most recent: v St. Kitts and Nevis, 2–2 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.4 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Cuba 2–0 Bonaire. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Bonaire 1.0, Cuba 2.8 – 3.8 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 72%, both to score at 54%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 72, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.38. Likeliest score: Bonaire 1–2 Cuba. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Bonaire
last 6- W@ Grenada4–16 Oct
- Lv Grenada2–33 Oct
- L@ Cuba0–228 Sep
- Lv St. Kitts and Nevis1–226 Sep
- Lv Saint Martin0–330 Mar
- Wv St. Vincent Grenadines3–127 Mar
Cuba
last 5- Dv St. Kitts and Nevis2–25 Oct
- D@ St. Kitts and Nevis3–32 Oct
- Wv Bonaire2–028 Sep
- W@ Grenada3–025 Sep
- D@ Martinique2–226 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 28 Sep 2026Cuba2–0Bonaire
More CONCACAF Nations League predictions
League page →
Barbados0
Guadeloupe3
Cayman Islands0
Guyana6
Aruba0
Martinique0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Bonaire vs Cuba?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 72, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Bonaire or Cuba?
The model gives Bonaire 10%, the draw 16% and Cuba 74%.
What is the likeliest score in Bonaire vs Cuba?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bonaire 1–2 Cuba.
How many goals are expected in Bonaire vs Cuba?
Around 3.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 72% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Bonaire vs Cuba kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 21:00 WAT, at Estadio La Polar – CONCACAF Nations League.