406 matches analysed today 5 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 08:46 WATTelegram18+
North & Central America CONCACAF Nations League Fri 13 Nov 2026 · Synthetic Track and Field Facility Full time
4–2
Half-time 1–0
76%Puerto Rico17%Draw7%Dominica

Puerto Rico vs Dominica prediction: Over 2.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 2.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 3.5, clear of the 2.5 line. The line lands in 70% of the model's runs. The 1.30 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

70Mind Score Odds1.30 Score3–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Puerto Rico1.1876% X · Draw6.5017% 2 · Dominica13.007%

Double chance

1X1.0493% 121.1183% X24.5024%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.0887% Under 1.58.0013%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.3070% Under 2.53.5030%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.7350% Under 3.52.0050%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7355% NG · No2.0045%

Half-time result

HT 11.5058% HT X3.2032% HT 29.0011%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Puerto Rico are clear favourites at 76% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.

Recent form

The last six for Puerto Rico read W W W L L W (four wins). Most recent: v Cayman Islands, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Dominica bring a L L L D D line into this one: zero wins from five. Most recent: at Guyana, 1–8 (lost). Just 0.4 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

Head-to-head

Latest (Sep 2026): Dominica 0–2 Puerto Rico. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Puerto Rico 2.7, Dominica 0.8 – 3.5 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 70%, BTTS 55%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.43. Likeliest score: Puerto Rico 3–0 Dominica. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Puerto Rico

last 6
  • Wv Cayman Islands1–04 Oct
  • W@ Cayman Islands3–02 Oct
  • W@ Dominica2–028 Sep
  • Lv Guyana0–124 Sep
  • Lv Saudi Arabia0–36 Jun
  • Wv Guam4–026 Mar
1.7scored / game0.7conceded0%GG50%over 2.5

Dominica

last 5
  • L@ Guyana1–84 Oct
  • Lv Guyana1–51 Oct
  • Lv Puerto Rico0–228 Sep
  • D@ Cayman Islands0–025 Sep
  • Dv Sint Maarten0–031 Mar
0.4scored / game3.0conceded40%GG40%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 28 Sep 2026Dominica0–2Puerto Rico

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Puerto Rico vs Dominica?

The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Puerto Rico or Dominica?

The model gives Puerto Rico 76%, the draw 17% and Dominica 7%.

What is the likeliest score in Puerto Rico vs Dominica?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Puerto Rico 3–0 Dominica.

How many goals are expected in Puerto Rico vs Dominica?

Around 3.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 70% and both teams to score 55%.

When does Puerto Rico vs Dominica kick off?

Friday 13 November 2026, 20:00 WAT, at Synthetic Track and Field Facility – CONCACAF Nations League.