421 matches analysed today 62 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:47 WATTelegram18+
Australian Championship Sun 25 Oct 2026 · WIN Stadium Full time
2–0
Half-time 2–0
63%Wollongong Wolves21%Draw16%South Hobart

Wollongong Wolves vs South Hobart prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Under 3.5 goals

Only 2.0 goals projected – a low-event game. Mind Score 86. Wollongong Wolves's latest result was a win (WLLW); South Hobart's recent sample is poor: LLLL. Mind Score 86.

86Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Wollongong Wolves1.3363% X · Draw4.7521% 2 · South Hobart6.0016%

Double chance

1X1.0884% 121.1779% X22.8037%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.6859% · fair Under 1.52.4641% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.53.0932% · fair Under 2.51.4868% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.57.0014% · fair Under 3.51.1786% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5755% NG · No2.3045%

Half-time result

HT 11.7040% HT X2.7048% HT 26.0012%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Wollongong Wolves are clear favourites at 63% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Wollongong Wolves 3rd (8 pts), South Hobart 4th (3 pts).

Recent form

Wollongong Wolves bring a D L W W L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Preston Lions, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.

South Hobart – sample of six: W W D L W W, with four wins. Most recent: at Lions, 2–1 (won). Output is high: 2.8 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Wollongong Wolves 1.5, South Hobart 0.5 – 2.0 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 68%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 86. Likeliest score: Wollongong Wolves 1–0 South Hobart. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Wollongong Wolves

last 6
  • D@ Preston Lions0–015 Oct
  • Lv Manly United0–430 Aug
  • Wv Western Sydney Wanderers U233–023 Aug
  • W@ Rockdale City Suns2–116 Aug
  • Lv Sydney United1–29 Aug
  • L@ Sutherland Sharks1–21 Aug
1.2scored / game1.5conceded50%GG83%over 2.5

South Hobart

last 6
  • W@ Lions2–118 Oct
  • Wv Devonport City5–15 Sep
  • Dv Kingborough Lions2–229 Aug
  • Lv Devonport City0–323 Aug
  • Wv Riverside5–28 Aug
  • Wv Launceston City3–11 Aug
2.8scored / game1.7conceded83%GG100%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Australian Championship table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Melbourne5401+410
2Sydney United5302+19
3Sutherland Sharks4103-14
4Canberra FC4103-44
1Wests APIA5401+813
2Broadmeadow Magic4301+28
3Avondale4202-25
4Adelaide City5005-81
1Bayswater City5401+613
2Oakleigh Cannons5302+310
3Marconi Stallions5203-44
4Sydney Olympic5104-53
1Preston Lions5302+210
2Lions5302+29
3Wollongong Wolves5302+38
4South Hobart5104-73

More Australian Championship predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Wollongong Wolves vs South Hobart?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 86.

Who is favourite, Wollongong Wolves or South Hobart?

The model gives Wollongong Wolves 63%, the draw 21% and South Hobart 16%.

What is the likeliest score in Wollongong Wolves vs South Hobart?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Wollongong Wolves 1–0 South Hobart.

How many goals are expected in Wollongong Wolves vs South Hobart?

Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 32% and both teams to score 55%.

When does Wollongong Wolves vs South Hobart kick off?

Sunday 25 October 2026, 05:00 WAT, at WIN Stadium – Australian Championship.