Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.8 goals in total. Mind Score 63. Sutherland Sharks's form is mixed (DLW, 1 W 1 D 1 L); Canberra FC won most recently (WLL). Price check: 1.67 on offer against a fair 1.60 – a positive edge.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Sutherland Sharks 54%, Canberra FC 32%, draw 14%. Table: Sutherland Sharks 3rd (4 pts), Canberra FC 4th (4 pts).
Recent form
Sutherland Sharks – sample of six: D L W L D L, with one win. Most recent: at South Melbourne, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last six for Canberra FC read W L L D L W (two wins). Most recent: v Sydney United, 2–1 (won). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (Oct 2026): Canberra FC 0–2 Sutherland Sharks. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sutherland Sharks 1.6, Canberra FC 1.1 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 59%, BTTS 54%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.67 against a fair 1.60. Likeliest score: Sutherland Sharks 1–0 Canberra FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sutherland Sharks
last 6- D@ South Melbourne0–07 Nov
- Lv Sydney United1–231 Oct
- W@ Canberra FC2–024 Oct
- Lv South Melbourne0–117 Oct
- Dv Manly United1–12 Sep
- Lv SD Raiders1–230 Aug
Canberra FC
last 6- Wv Sydney United2–16 Nov
- Lv South Melbourne0–229 Oct
- Lv Sutherland Sharks0–224 Oct
- D@ Sydney United1–118 Oct
- Lv Cooma Tigers FC0–313 Sep
- Wv Queanbeyan City1–05 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 24 Oct 2026Canberra FC0–2Sutherland Sharks
Australian Championship table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Melbourne | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Sydney United | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Sutherland Sharks | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Canberra FC | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 1 |  Wests APIA | 5 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Adelaide City | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| 1 |  Bayswater City | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Oakleigh Cannons | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Sydney Olympic | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Marconi Stallions | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 1 |  Lions | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Preston Lions | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 |  Wollongong Wolves | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 |  South Hobart | 4 | -4 | 3 |
More Australian Championship predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.67 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sutherland Sharks or Canberra FC?
The model gives Sutherland Sharks 54%, the draw 14% and Canberra FC 32%.
What is the likeliest score in Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sutherland Sharks 1–0 Canberra FC.
How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 59% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Sutherland Sharks vs Canberra FC kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 05:00 WAT, at Seymour Shaw Park – Australian Championship.