Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.2 projected goals. Mind Score 63. The 1.47 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Yacoub El Mansour edge it at home, 54% to 29%, with the draw on 17%. Table: Yacoub El Mansour 4th (14 pts), USM Oujda 6th (12 pts).
Recent form
Yacoub El Mansour bring a L W D D W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Olympique Dcheïra, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.8 a game.
USM Oujda bring a D D W L D W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Union Sportive Boujaad, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Yacoub El Mansour 1.3, USM Oujda 0.8 – 2.2 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 63%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.47 against a fair 1.58. Likeliest score: Yacoub El Mansour 2–0 USM Oujda. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Yacoub El Mansour
last 6- L@ Olympique Dcheïra0–18 Nov
- Wv El Massira2–131 Oct
- Dv Wydad Fès2–225 Oct
- D@ Union Sportive Boujaad1–117 Oct
- Wv Riadi Salmi1–011 Oct
- W@ KAC Kenitra1–04 Oct
USM Oujda
last 6- Dv Union Sportive Boujaad0–07 Nov
- D@ KAC Kenitra1–131 Oct
- Wv Riadi Salmi2–125 Oct
- L@ Wydad Fès1–418 Oct
- Dv Olympique Safi1–110 Oct
- W@ Chabab Mohammédia1–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Botola 2 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wydad Fès | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Ittihad Khemisset | 7 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Olympique Dcheïra | 7 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Yacoub El Mansour | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Stade Marocain | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  USM Oujda | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 |  Olympique Khouribga | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 8 |  KAC Kenitra | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Olympique Safi | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 |  El Massira | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Mouloudia Oujda | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Chabab Ben Guerir | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Riadi Salmi | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 |  Union Sportive Boujaad | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Chabab Atl. Khenifra | 7 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Chabab Mohammédia | 7 | -10 | 2 |
More Botola 2 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.47 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Yacoub El Mansour or USM Oujda?
The model gives Yacoub El Mansour 54%, the draw 17% and USM Oujda 29%.
What is the likeliest score in Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Yacoub El Mansour 2–0 USM Oujda.
How many goals are expected in Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?
Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 37% and both teams to score 41%.
When does Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 18:00 WAT – Botola 2.