CAF U23 Cup Of Nations Thu 12 Nov 2026 Full time

Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23 prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.3 goals in total. Mind Score 74. At 1.33 the market and the model roughly agree.

74Mind Score Odds1.33 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Tunisia U231.3863% X · Draw4.2520% 2 · Gabon U236.6916%

Double chance

1X1.0484% 121.1380% X22.5637%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1971% Under 1.53.8029%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7247% Under 2.51.9653%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.8126% Under 3.51.3374%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8753% NG · No1.8047%

Half-time result

HT 11.9242% HT X2.2944% HT 26.5313%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Tunisia U23 strong home favourites (63%).

Recent form

The last six for Tunisia U23 read L W L D W L (two wins). Most recent: at Benin U23, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Tunisia U23 1.6, Gabon U23 0.6 – 2.3 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 53%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Tunisia U23 1–0 Gabon U23. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.