Greece U21 vs Iceland U21 prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.9 projected goals. Probability 76%. The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Greece U21 edge it at home, 49% to 29%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Greece U21 3rd (17 pts), Iceland U21 9th (12 pts).
Recent form
Greece U21 bring a D W W W D L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Iceland U21, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.0 a game.
The last six for Iceland U21 read D W W D L W (three wins). Most recent: v Greece U21, 1–1 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.7 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Nov 2026): Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Greece U21 1.7, Iceland U21 1.3 – 2.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 51%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Greece U21 2–1 Iceland U21. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Greece U21
last 6- D@ Iceland U211–112 Nov
- W@ Northern Ireland U211–06 Oct
- Wv Latvia U214–21 Oct
- W@ Georgia U213–026 Sep
- D@ Croatia U211–130 May
- Lv Qatar U201–227 May
Iceland U21
last 6- Dv Greece U211–112 Nov
- W@ Faroe Islands U212–06 Oct
- Wv Switzerland U215–129 Sep
- Dv France U211–125 Sep
- L@ France U211–230 Mar
- Wv Estonia U216–226 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Nov 2026Iceland U211–1Greece U21
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal U21 | 10 | +38 | 28 |
| 2 |  Iceland U21 | 10 | +18 | 18 |
| 3 |  Greece U21 | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Belarus U21 | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cyprus U21 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Liechtenstein U21 | 10 | -63 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Greece U21 vs Iceland U21?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Greece U21 or Iceland U21?
The model gives Greece U21 49%, the draw 22% and Iceland U21 29%.
What is the likeliest score in Greece U21 vs Iceland U21?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Greece U21 2–1 Iceland U21.
How many goals are expected in Greece U21 vs Iceland U21?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Greece U21 vs Iceland U21 kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 18:00 WAT, at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium – UEFA U21 Championship Qualification.