Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Fleetwood Town (1.9) plus Rochdale (1.0) puts 2.9 goals on the board. Probability 77%. Fleetwood Town's form is mixed (DWDL, 1 W 2 D 1 L); 4 without a win for Rochdale (DLLL). Price check: 1.22 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Fleetwood Town edge it at home, 60% to 21%, with the draw on 19%.
Recent form
The last six for Fleetwood Town read W D L L W D (two wins). Most recent: v Bristol Rovers, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.5 a game.
The last six for Rochdale read L L L D L D (zero wins). Most recent: v Doncaster, 1–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 3.2 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Fleetwood Town 1.9, Rochdale 1.0 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: Fleetwood Town 2–0 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Fleetwood Town
last 6- Wv Bristol Rovers3–131 Oct
- Dv Arsenal1–127 Oct
- L@ Exeter City1–224 Oct
- L@ Cheltenham2–420 Oct
- Wv Rotherham2–017 Oct
- Dv Walsall1–110 Oct
Rochdale
last 6- Lv Doncaster1–43 Nov
- L@ Port Vale2–431 Oct
- Lv Accrington ST0–524 Oct
- Dv Grimsby2–220 Oct
- L@ Crewe2–317 Oct
- D@ Tranmere1–110 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 26 Sep 2026Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale
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FC Halifax Town0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Fleetwood Town or Rochdale?
The model gives Fleetwood Town 60%, the draw 19% and Rochdale 21%.
What is the likeliest score in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Fleetwood Town 2–0 Rochdale.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Highbury Stadium – FA Cup.