AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction: Blackpool or draw
Only a Blackpool loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 17%. AFC Hornchurch's latest result was a win (WDWLL); Blackpool were beaten last time (LDDW). Price check: 1.22 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Blackpool rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 61% in the model.
Recent form
AFC Hornchurch bring a W L L L W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v West Ham United U21, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Blackpool read D W L W L L (two wins). Most recent: at Sheffield Wednesday, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.7 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: AFC Hornchurch 1.2, Blackpool 2.3 – 3.5 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 64%, BTTS 61%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Blackpool or draw – Mind Score 83, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.20. Likeliest score: AFC Hornchurch 1–2 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
AFC Hornchurch
last 6- Wv West Ham United U212–03 Nov
- L@ AFC Fylde1–330 Oct
- Lv Yeovil Town1–227 Oct
- L@ Hartlepool1–224 Oct
- W@ Uxbridge4–017 Oct
- Wv Eastleigh2–010 Oct
Blackpool
last 6- D@ Sheffield Wednesday1–11 Nov
- Wv Aston Villa U213–227 Oct
- Lv Mansfield Town1–424 Oct
- Wv Milton Keynes Dons2–020 Oct
- L@ Leyton Orient0–217 Oct
- L@ Cambridge United0–110 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
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FC Halifax Town0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
The Mind pick is Blackpool or draw with a Mind Score of 83, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, AFC Hornchurch or Blackpool?
The model gives AFC Hornchurch 17%, the draw 22% and Blackpool 61%.
What is the likeliest score in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is AFC Hornchurch 1–2 Blackpool.
How many goals are expected in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
Around 3.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 61%.
When does AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Hornchurch Stadium – FA Cup.