York vs Northampton prediction: York or draw
York avoid defeat in 85% of the model's runs. York's latest result was a win (WLWL); Northampton's recent sample is poor: DLLLD. The bookmaker's 1.22 beats the model's fair price of 1.17.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes York strong home favourites (65%).
Recent form
The last six for York read L L W D D D (one win). Most recent: at Grimsby, 2–5 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.8 a game.
The last six for Northampton read L D W L W D (two wins). Most recent: v Oldham, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.7 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Oct 2026): York 1–1 Northampton. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: York 1.9, Northampton 0.8 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was York or draw – Mind Score 85, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.17. Likeliest score: York 1–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
York
last 6- L@ Grimsby2–531 Oct
- L@ Barnet1–327 Oct
- Wv Port Vale2–024 Oct
- Dv Accrington ST1–120 Oct
- D@ Newport County1–117 Oct
- Dv Northampton1–110 Oct
Northampton
last 6- Lv Oldham0–13 Nov
- D@ Accrington ST1–131 Oct
- Wv Colchester2–024 Oct
- Lv Tranmere0–120 Oct
- W@ Grimsby2–017 Oct
- D@ York1–110 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 10 Oct 2026York1–1Northampton
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Accrington ST0
Wycombe2
Barnet3
Tranmere0
Boreham Wood0
Wigan3
Bradford7
Marine0
Bromley0
Rotherham2
Burton Albion4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds0
Carlisle1
Salford City0
Cheltenham2
FC Halifax Town0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for York vs Northampton?
The Mind pick is York or draw with a Mind Score of 85, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, York or Northampton?
The model gives York 65%, the draw 20% and Northampton 15%.
What is the likeliest score in York vs Northampton?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is York 1–0 Northampton.
How many goals are expected in York vs Northampton?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 57%.
When does York vs Northampton kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at York Community Stadium – FA Cup.