399 matches analysed today 7 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 06:00 WATTelegram18+
England FA Cup Sat 7 Nov 2026 · Oakwell Full time

Barnsley

LLLLD
7–2
Half-time 4–0

Aldershot Town

WLLWL
70%Barnsley19%Draw11%Aldershot Town

Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction: Barnsley to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Barnsley to win

Barnsley rate better at both ends – 2.4 expected for, 0.9 against. Barnsley were beaten last time (LWWD); Aldershot Town were beaten last time (LLLWL). The 1.28 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

70Mind Score Odds1.28 Score2–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Barnsley1.2870% X · Draw6.5019% 2 · Aldershot Town8.0011%

Double chance

1X1.0889% 121.1181% X23.5030%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1185% Under 1.56.5015%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.4066% Under 2.53.0034%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.9145% Under 3.51.8055%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7558% NG · No2.0042%

Half-time result

HT 11.6253% HT X2.8834% HT 28.0013%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Barnsley are clear favourites at 70% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.

Recent form

The last six for Barnsley read D L L L L L (zero wins). Most recent: v Oxford United, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.3 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

The last six for Aldershot Town read L W L L W D (two wins). Most recent: v Ipswich Town U21, 0–5 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Barnsley 2.4, Aldershot Town 0.9 – 3.3 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 66%, BTTS 58%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Barnsley to win – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.43. Likeliest score: Barnsley 2–0 Aldershot Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Barnsley

last 6
  • Dv Oxford United1–131 Oct
  • L@ Reading1–224 Oct
  • L@ Luton1–220 Oct
  • Lv Cambridge United1–217 Oct
  • L@ Stockport County1–310 Oct
  • L@ Fleetwood Town1–46 Oct
1.0scored / game2.3conceded100%GG83%over 2.5

Aldershot Town

last 6
  • Lv Ipswich Town U210–53 Nov
  • Wv Gateshead1–031 Oct
  • L@ Sutton Utd0–228 Oct
  • Lv Wealdstone0–124 Oct
  • W@ Tadley Calleva2–020 Oct
  • Dv Tadley Calleva2–217 Oct
0.8scored / game1.7conceded17%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More FA Cup predictions

League page →
FT Accrington ST0Wycombe2 292150 Pick missed ✗Both teams scoreMS 62@1.53
FT Barnet3Tranmere0 592219 Pick landed ✓Home winMS 59@1.67
FT Boreham Wood0Wigan3 662212 Pick missed ✗Home or drawMS 88@1.22
FT Bradford7Marine0 74179 Pick landed ✓Home winMS 74@1.30
FT Bromley0Rotherham2 295318 Pick missed ✗Home or drawMS 82@1.30
FT Burton Albion4AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 76177 Pick landed ✓Over 2.5 goalsMS 70@1.33
FT Carlisle1Salford City0 382141 Pick missed ✗Both teams scoreMS 63@1.50
FT Cheltenham2FC Halifax Town0 651421 Pick landed ✓Home winMS 65@1.90

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

The Mind pick is Barnsley to win with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Barnsley or Aldershot Town?

The model gives Barnsley 70%, the draw 19% and Aldershot Town 11%.

What is the likeliest score in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Barnsley 2–0 Aldershot Town.

How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?

Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 66% and both teams to score 58%.

When does Barnsley vs Aldershot Town kick off?

Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Oakwell – FA Cup.