Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction: Over 2.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 4.5, clear of the 2.5 line. The line lands in 72% of the model's runs. Chesterfield have taken 3 wins from 4 (WWWL); Yeovil Town's form is mixed (DLLW, 1 W 1 D 2 L). Price check: 1.53 on offer against a fair 1.38 – a positive edge.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Chesterfield strong home favourites (63%).
Recent form
Chesterfield – sample of six: L W D L D W, with two wins. Most recent: at Newport County, 1–4 (lost). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Yeovil Town bring a L W L W D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at FC Halifax Town, 0–2 (lost). The attack is running at 2.8 per game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chesterfield 3.0, Yeovil Town 1.5 – 4.5 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 72%, both to score at 69%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 72, bookmaker price around 1.53 against a fair 1.38. Likeliest score: Chesterfield 2–1 Yeovil Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chesterfield
last 6- L@ Newport County1–430 Oct
- Wv Crewe5–124 Oct
- Dv Colchester1–120 Oct
- L@ Port Vale0–117 Oct
- D@ Crawley Town2–210 Oct
- Wv Tranmere4–23 Oct
Yeovil Town
last 6- L@ FC Halifax Town0–231 Oct
- W@ AFC Hornchurch2–127 Oct
- Lv Altrincham1–224 Oct
- Wv Leatherhead5–220 Oct
- D@ Leatherhead3–317 Oct
- W@ Wealdstone6–010 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
More FA Cup predictions
League page →
Accrington ST0
Wycombe2
Barnet3
Tranmere0
Boreham Wood0
Wigan3
Bradford7
Marine0
Bromley0
Rotherham2
Burton Albion4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds0
Carlisle1
Salford City0
Cheltenham2
FC Halifax Town0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 72, priced around 1.53 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Chesterfield or Yeovil Town?
The model gives Chesterfield 63%, the draw 23% and Yeovil Town 14%.
What is the likeliest score in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chesterfield 2–1 Yeovil Town.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Around 4.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 72% and both teams to score 69%.
When does Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at SMH Group Stadium – FA Cup.