Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde prediction: Harrogate Town to win
The model lands a Harrogate Town win in 63% of simulations. Harrogate Town won most recently (WLDL); AFC Fylde are unbeaten across their last 4 (WWWW). The bookmaker's 1.95 beats the model's fair price of 1.59.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Harrogate Town are clear favourites at 63% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.
Recent form
Harrogate Town bring a D L W W D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Forest Green, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game.
AFC Fylde – sample of six: W W L W W L, with four wins. Most recent: v AFC Hornchurch, 3–1 (won). Output is high: 2.3 goals a game across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Harrogate Town 1–2 AFC Fylde. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Harrogate Town 2.2, AFC Fylde 1.2 – 3.4 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 65%, BTTS 63%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Harrogate Town to win – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.95 against a fair 1.59. Likeliest score: Harrogate Town 2–1 AFC Fylde. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Harrogate Town
last 6- D@ Forest Green2–231 Oct
- L@ Carlisle0–328 Oct
- Wv Sutton Utd3–124 Oct
- Wv Bury3–120 Oct
- D@ Bury1–117 Oct
- W@ Woking1–010 Oct
AFC Fylde
last 6- Wv AFC Hornchurch3–130 Oct
- Wv Hartlepool3–127 Oct
- L@ Boreham Wood0–424 Oct
- Wv Atherton Collieries5–017 Oct
- Wv Scunthorpe2–010 Oct
- L@ Southend1–33 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Sep 2026Harrogate Town1–2AFC Fylde
More FA Cup predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
The Mind pick is Harrogate Town to win with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.95 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Harrogate Town or AFC Fylde?
The model gives Harrogate Town 63%, the draw 13% and AFC Fylde 24%.
What is the likeliest score in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Harrogate Town 2–1 AFC Fylde.
How many goals are expected in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
Around 3.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 65% and both teams to score 63%.
When does Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Exercise Stadium – FA Cup.

