Uzbekistan vs Russia prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Uzbekistan (1.0) plus Russia (1.9) puts 2.9 goals on the board. Mind Score 73. Price check: 1.31 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Russia shade it on the road, 59% to 20%.
Recent form
Uzbekistan bring a L W W L L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at South Korea, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Russia bring a D W W W W L line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v Nigeria, 3–3 (drawn). Output is high: 2.8 goals a game across the sample. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Uzbekistan 1.0, Russia 1.9 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.31 against a fair 1.36. Likeliest score: Uzbekistan 0–2 Russia. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Uzbekistan
last 6- L@ South Korea0–26 Oct
- Wv Syria4–11 Oct
- Wv Iran3–124 Sep
- L@ Congo DR1–328 Jun
- L@ Portugal0–523 Jun
- Lv Colombia1–318 Jun
Russia
last 6- Dv Nigeria3–36 Oct
- Wv Namibia6–03 Oct
- Wv Iran2–029 Sep
- Wv Trinidad and Tobago3–09 Jun
- Wv Burkina Faso3–05 Jun
- L@ Egypt0–128 May
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
More Friendlies predictions
League page →
New Zealand5
India0
Thailand U231
Qatar U232
Singapore U230
Vietnam U231
Scotland U214
Ukraine U210
France U200
Denmark U201
Lithuania0
Suriname0
Malta1
Eswatini1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Uzbekistan vs Russia?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.31 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Uzbekistan or Russia?
The model gives Uzbekistan 20%, the draw 21% and Russia 59%.
What is the likeliest score in Uzbekistan vs Russia?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Uzbekistan 0–2 Russia.
How many goals are expected in Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Uzbekistan vs Russia kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Pakhtakor Central Stadium – Friendlies.