Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.4 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 76. Real Cundinamarca's form is mixed (DLL, 0 W 1 D 2 L); Real Cartagena's form is mixed (DWLD, 1 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Real Cundinamarca 36%, draw 23%, Real Cartagena 41%. Table: Real Cundinamarca 4th (2 pts), Real Cartagena 3rd (5 pts).
Recent form
Real Cundinamarca – sample of six: L D L W D D, with one win. Most recent: at Real Cartagena, 0–1 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Real Cartagena – sample of six: W L D D W D, with two wins. Most recent: v Real Cundinamarca, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Real Cundinamarca 0 wins, Real Cartagena 1, draws 1; 1.5 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): Real Cartagena 1–0 Real Cundinamarca. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Real Cundinamarca 1.2, Real Cartagena 1.3 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Real Cundinamarca 0–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Real Cundinamarca
last 6- L@ Real Cartagena0–18 Nov
- Dv Tigres FC0–01 Nov
- L@ Quindio0–229 Oct
- Wv Ind. Yumbo1–024 Oct
- D@ Tigres FC0–020 Oct
- Dv Bogota FC0–014 Oct
Real Cartagena
last 6- Wv Real Cundinamarca1–08 Nov
- Lv Quindio2–34 Nov
- D@ Tigres FC0–029 Oct
- D@ Barranquilla1–124 Oct
- Wv Patriotas3–020 Oct
- D@ Quindio1–116 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 8 Nov 2026Real Cartagena1–0Real Cundinamarca
- 2 Aug 2026Real Soacha1–1Real Cartagena
Primera B table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quindio | 40 | +14 | 73 |
| 2 |  Envigado | 42 | +21 | 71 |
| 3 |  Real Cartagena | 42 | +17 | 66 |
| 4 |  Union Magdalena | 40 | +16 | 65 |
| 5 |  Internacional Palmira | 36 | +10 | 61 |
| 6 |  Tigres FC | 40 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Ind. Yumbo | 34 | +6 | 49 |
| 8 |  Bogota FC | 36 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 |  Real Cundinamarca | 34 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  Popayan | 34 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 |  Barranquilla | 36 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 |  Patriotas | 30 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |  Orsomarso | 30 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 |  Depor FC | 30 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 |  Real Santander | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 16 |  Leones FC | 30 | -26 | 24 |
More Primera B predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Real Cundinamarca or Real Cartagena?
The model gives Real Cundinamarca 36%, the draw 23% and Real Cartagena 41%.
What is the likeliest score in Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Real Cundinamarca 0–1 Real Cartagena.
How many goals are expected in Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 00:00 WAT, at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera – Primera B.