Quindio vs Real Cartagena prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.5 goals in total. The line lands in 75% of the model's runs. Quindio have taken 3 wins from 4 (WLWW); Real Cartagena's form is mixed (DWLD, 1 W 2 D 1 L). Price check: 1.22 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Quindio 42%, Real Cartagena 34%, draw 24%. Table: Quindio 1st (9 pts), Real Cartagena 3rd (5 pts).
Recent form
Quindio bring a W L W W W W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: v Tigres FC, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Real Cartagena read D W L D D W (two wins). Most recent: at Real Cundinamarca, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Quindio 1 wins, Real Cartagena 1, draws 1; 3.3 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): Real Cartagena 2–3 Quindio. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Quindio 1.3, Real Cartagena 1.1 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 49%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Quindio 1–0 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Quindio
last 6- Wv Tigres FC1–012 Nov
- L@ Tigres FC0–27 Nov
- W@ Real Cartagena3–24 Nov
- Wv Real Cundinamarca2–029 Oct
- Wv Tigres FC2–024 Oct
- W@ Depor FC1–020 Oct
Real Cartagena
last 6- D@ Real Cundinamarca2–212 Nov
- Wv Real Cundinamarca1–08 Nov
- Lv Quindio2–34 Nov
- D@ Tigres FC0–029 Oct
- D@ Barranquilla1–124 Oct
- Wv Patriotas3–020 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 4 Nov 2026Real Cartagena2–3Quindio
- 16 Oct 2026Quindio1–1Real Cartagena
- 1 Apr 2026Real Cartagena2–1Quindio
Primera B table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quindio | 40 | +14 | 73 |
| 2 |  Envigado | 42 | +21 | 71 |
| 3 |  Real Cartagena | 42 | +17 | 66 |
| 4 |  Union Magdalena | 40 | +16 | 65 |
| 5 |  Internacional Palmira | 36 | +10 | 61 |
| 6 |  Tigres FC | 40 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Ind. Yumbo | 34 | +6 | 49 |
| 8 |  Bogota FC | 36 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 |  Real Cundinamarca | 34 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  Popayan | 34 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 |  Barranquilla | 36 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 |  Patriotas | 30 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |  Orsomarso | 30 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 |  Depor FC | 30 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 |  Real Santander | 30 | -17 | 27 |
| 16 |  Leones FC | 30 | -26 | 24 |
More Primera B predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Quindio or Real Cartagena?
The model gives Quindio 42%, the draw 24% and Real Cartagena 34%.
What is the likeliest score in Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Quindio 1–0 Real Cartagena.
How many goals are expected in Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 49%.
When does Quindio vs Real Cartagena kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 02:10 WAT, at Estadio Centenario – Primera B.