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Croix Football IC vs Thaon prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 2.8, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.21 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

76Mind Score Odds1.21 Score2–0

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Croix Football IC1.5465% X · Draw3.9418% 2 · Thaon5.4517%

Double chance

1X1.1183% 121.2182% X22.3035%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2176% Under 1.53.5824%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7553% Under 2.51.9947%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.7432% Under 3.51.3568%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8054% NG · No1.8846%

Half-time result

HT 12.0946% HT X2.2339% HT 25.4015%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Croix Football IC strong home favourites (65%).

Expected goals

Expected goals: Croix Football IC 2.0, Thaon 0.8 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 54%.

The pick

Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.21 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Croix Football IC 2–0 Thaon. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.